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Hungary vs Georgia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Puskas Arena, Budapest
Hungary Logo

Hungary

1 - 0
FT
Georgia Logo

Georgia

Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Kiteishvili O.
35' Event
Kerkez M.
Assist: Lukacs D.
46'
Sub
Yegoian I. In: Kochorashvili G.
Out: Yegoian I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hungary in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hungary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hungary
30%
Draws
23%
Georgia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hungary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hungary lately — more wins on the board than Georgia.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Hungary taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Hungary have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Hungary Clean Sheet 68%
Georgia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungary Georgia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Hungary vs Georgia
1:0
Sep 1, 2001 World Championship
Georgia vs Hungary
3:1
Jun 6, 2001 World Championship
Hungary vs Georgia
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hungary Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerkez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Georgia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungary 68 / 100
Georgia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungary Georgia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungary Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Hungary scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Georgia has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Hungary went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hungary VS Georgia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungary

(Home)
05 Oct
Ukraine
1 : 2
Hungary
02 Oct
Hungary
1 : 0
Georgia
28 Sept
Northern Ireland
0 : 0
Hungary
25 Sept
Hungary
0 : 1
Ukraine
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
Page 1 of 7

Georgia

(Away)
05 Oct
Northern Ireland
0 : 0
Georgia
02 Oct
Hungary
1 : 0
Georgia
28 Sept
Georgia
0 : 0
Ukraine
25 Sept
Georgia
0 : 1
Northern Ireland
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)