Sport Picks

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Hungary vs Greece

World World

Friendly International Puskas Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hungary play Greece in the Friendly International. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hungary averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Greece averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Hungary won 2, Greece won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 31, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Hungary and 1.50 for Greece. This points to a Greece double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hungary
20%
Draws
41%
Greece
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Greece

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Hungary picked up more points recently compared to Greece.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Hungary Clean Sheet 16%
Greece Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungary Greece
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Hungary vs Greece
0:0
Nov 20, 2022 Friendly International
Hungary vs Greece
2:1
Oct 12, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Greece vs Hungary
1:0
Sep 11, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Hungary vs Greece
2:1
Oct 11, 2015 Euro
Greece vs Hungary
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungary 38 / 100
Greece 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungary Greece

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Greece or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hungary attacking → ← attacking Greece

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hungary scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Greece let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Hungary went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Greece lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 49
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63