Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hungary vs Ireland

World World

World Championship 2026 Puskas Arena, Budapest
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lukacs D.
Assist: Szoboszlai D.
15' Event
Parrott T.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Varga B.
Assist: Kerkez M.

AI Match Summary

Ireland in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ireland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hungary
30%
Draws
31%
Ireland
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hungary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hungary have won more games recently than Ireland.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Hungary Clean Sheet 18%
Ireland Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungary Ireland
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 World Championship
Hungary vs Ireland
2:3
Sep 6, 2025 World Championship
Ireland vs Hungary
2:2
Jun 4, 2024 Friendly International
Ireland vs Hungary
2:1
Jun 8, 2021 Friendly International
Hungary vs Ireland
0:0
Jun 4, 2012 Friendly International
Hungary vs Ireland
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hungary Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukacs D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Varga B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ireland Compare

Top Goalscorer Parrott T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungary 32 / 100
Ireland 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungary Ireland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hungary found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Ireland let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Hungary went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hungary VS Ireland
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungary

(Home)
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0
Greece
28 Mar
Hungary
1 : 0
Slovenia
16 Nov
Hungary
2 : 3
Ireland
Page 1 of 6

Ireland

(Away)
05 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Ireland
28 May
Ireland
1 : 0
Qatar
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0
Grenada
31 Mar
Ireland
0 : 0
North Macedonia
26 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2
Ireland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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