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World Championship 2026 Puskas Arena

Portugal

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hungary play Portugal in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hungary averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Portugal averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Hungary won 0, Portugal won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 14, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Hungary and 1.56 for Portugal. This points to a Portugal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Hungary

22%

Draws

48%

Portugal

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Portugal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Hungary picked up more points recently compared to Portugal.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Hungary Clean Sheet 15%

Portugal Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hungary	Portugal
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	12	20
Draws	8	6
Losses	10	5
Goals Scored	1.33	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.47	0.87
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship

Portugal vs Hungary

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship

Hungary vs Portugal

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Jun 15, 2021 Euro

Hungary vs Portugal

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 0 - 2

0:3

Sep 3, 2017 World Championship

Hungary vs Portugal

Possession: 40% - 51% Cards: 0 - 0

0:1

Mar 25, 2017 World Championship

Portugal vs Hungary

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hungary Compare

Top Goalscorer Varga B.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Portugal Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cancelo J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungary 30 / 100

Portugal 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hungary Portugal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Portugal or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hungary attacking → ← attacking Portugal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hungary scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Portugal let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Hungary went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Portugal lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 66

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0