Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hungary W vs Finland W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Nystrom E.
(Penalty)
37'
Nagy V.
39'
Oling R.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Hungary W and Finland W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finland W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hungary W
15%
Draws
42%
Finland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hungary W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Finland W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hungary W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Finland W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Hungary W Clean Sheet 68%
Finland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungary W Finland W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Finland W vs Hungary W
3:0
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Hungary W vs Finland W
0:1
Feb 19, 2023 International Tournament (Cyprus) Women
Finland W vs Hungary W
8:0
Mar 7, 2018 International Tournament (Cyprus) Women
Hungary W vs Finland W
0:2
Apr 10, 2014 World Cup Women
Finland W vs Hungary W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungary W 95 / 100
Finland W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungary W Finland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungary W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hungary W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Hungary W scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Finland W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hungary W VS Finland W
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungary W

(Home)
09 Jun
Hungary W
6 : 1
Andorra W
05 Jun
Azerbaijan W
1 : 2
Hungary W
18 Apr
Hungary W
7 : 0
North Macedonia W
14 Apr
North Macedonia W
0 : 5
Hungary W
07 Mar
Hungary W
1 : 0
Azerbaijan W
Page 1 of 6

Finland W

(Away)
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1
Latvia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland W 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Northern Ireland W 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Romania W 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia W 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Ireland W 6 5 0 1 10:6 15
3 Turkey W 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
4 Greece W 6 0 0 6 2:12 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia W 6 4 2 0 7:1 14
2 Finland W 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
3 Hungary W 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
4 Belarus W 6 0 3 3 0:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine W 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Czech Republic W 6 4 1 1 17:4 13
3 Albania W 6 2 0 4 10:12 6
4 Croatia W 6 1 0 5 4:17 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)