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Hungry Lions vs Upington City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Africa South Africa

Motsepe Foundation Championship
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hungry Lions host Upington City in the Motsepe Foundation Championship. This one's hard to separate. Hungry Lions have averaged 1.45 scored and 0.79 conceded recently, against Upington City's 1.13 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Hungry Lions have won 2 to Upington City's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.94) point toward Hungry Lions. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hungry Lions
20%
Draws
40%
Upington City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hungry Lions lately — more wins on the board than Upington City.
  • Model gives Hungry Lions a 40% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Motsepe Foundation Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Hungry Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Upington City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungry Lions Upington City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Hungry Lions vs Upington City
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Upington City vs Hungry Lions
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Upington City vs Hungry Lions
0:1
Dec 13, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Hungry Lions vs Upington City
1:1
Feb 13, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Upington City vs Hungry Lions
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungry Lions 49 / 100
Upington City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungry Lions Upington City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungry Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hungry Lions scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Upington City has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Hungry Lions has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hungry Lions VS Upington City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungry Lions

(Home)
17 Oct
Pretoria U.
0 : 2
Hungry Lions
10 Oct
Hungry Lions
2 : 0
Real Native
20 Sept
Magesi
1 : 1
Hungry Lions
12 Sept
Hungry Lions
2 : 0
The Bees
06 Sept
Cape Town City
2 : 1
Hungry Lions
Page 1 of 6

Upington City

(Away)
23 Oct
Midlands Wanderers
0 : 1
Upington City
17 Oct
Upington City
2 : 0
Orbit College
11 Oct
Gomora United
2 : 1
Upington City
19 Sept
Upington City
3 : 3
Pretoria U.
12 Sept
Venda
2 : 3
Upington City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magesi 7 5 2 0 10:3 17
2 Real Native 7 5 0 2 8:5 15
3 Cape Town City 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
4 Hungry Lions 7 3 3 1 10:5 12
5 Upington City 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
6 Lerumo Lions 7 3 2 2 8:6 11
7 Highbury 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
8 Gomora United 7 3 2 2 10:10 11
9 Hope FC 7 3 2 2 5:5 11
10 Leicesterford City 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
11 Midlands Wanderers 7 2 2 3 5:5 8
12 Pretoria U. 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
13 North West University Mafikeng 7 1 4 2 3:5 7
14 Orbit College 7 0 3 4 3:8 3
15 The Bees 7 1 0 6 3:10 3
16 Venda 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Betway Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Betway Premiership (Relegation Group)