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Hungry Lions vs Venda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Africa South Africa

Motsepe Foundation Championship
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hungry Lions host Venda in the Motsepe Foundation Championship. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Hungry Lions at 1.45 goals for, 0.79 against; Venda at 0.83 for, 1.31 against. Head-to-head, Hungry Lions have won 4 to Venda's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.63, favoring Hungry Lions. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hungry Lions
15%
Draws
0%
Venda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hungry Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hungry Lions lately — more wins on the board than Venda.
  • Hungry Lions are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Motsepe Foundation Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hungry Lions have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hungry Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Venda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungry Lions Venda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.45 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Hungry Lions vs Venda
3:1
Dec 3, 2025 Nedbank Cup
Hungry Lions vs Venda
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Hungry Lions
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Hungry Lions
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Hungry Lions vs Venda
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungry Lions 85 / 100
Venda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungry Lions Venda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungry Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Venda has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Hungry Lions scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Venda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Hungry Lions VS Venda
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungry Lions

(Home)
17 Oct
Pretoria U.
0 : 2
Hungry Lions
10 Oct
Hungry Lions
2 : 0
Real Native
20 Sept
Magesi
1 : 1
Hungry Lions
12 Sept
Hungry Lions
2 : 0
The Bees
06 Sept
Cape Town City
2 : 1
Hungry Lions
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Venda

(Away)
17 Oct
Venda
1 : 3
Magesi
10 Oct
Midlands Wanderers
1 : 0
Venda
18 Sept
Real Native
2 : 0
Venda
12 Sept
Venda
2 : 3
Upington City
05 Sept
Venda
0 : 2
Pretoria U.
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magesi 7 5 2 0 10:3 17
2 Real Native 7 5 0 2 8:5 15
3 Cape Town City 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
4 Hungry Lions 7 3 3 1 10:5 12
5 Upington City 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
6 Lerumo Lions 7 3 2 2 8:6 11
7 Highbury 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
8 Gomora United 7 3 2 2 10:10 11
9 Hope FC 7 3 2 2 5:5 11
10 Leicesterford City 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
11 Midlands Wanderers 7 2 2 3 5:5 8
12 Pretoria U. 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
13 North West University Mafikeng 7 1 4 2 3:5 7
14 Orbit College 7 0 3 4 3:8 3
15 The Bees 7 1 0 6 3:10 3
16 Venda 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Betway Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Betway Premiership (Relegation Group)