Sport Picks

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay 2023

Huracan Buceo

Sun, Sep 17, 2023

1 - 2

06:30 PM

Ferro Carril

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Tabarez N.

52'

Muyano V.

54'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Ferro Carril advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Huracan Buceo

15%

Draws

51%

Ferro Carril

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferro Carril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence

Ferro Carril's 1.17 goals per match outpaces what Huracan Buceo have produced (1.07).
Win probability leans Huracan Buceo's way, sitting at 50%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Ferro Carril, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%

Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%

Huracan Buceo Clean Sheet 10%

Ferro Carril Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Huracan Buceo	Ferro Carril
Matches Played	30	6
Wins	4	4
Draws	5	0
Losses	21	2
Goals Scored	1.07	1.17
Goals Conceded	2.3	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.15	2.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2023 Copa Uruguay

Huracan Buceo vs Ferro Carril

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huracan Buceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.88

Avg xA / game 0.57

Ferro Carril Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabarez N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.84

Avg xA / game 1.12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huracan Buceo 47 / 100

Ferro Carril 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Huracan Buceo Ferro Carril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HUR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huracan Buceo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ferro Carril has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Huracan Buceo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Huracan Buceo VS Ferro Carril

0.63 Goals Scored 1.17

2.88 Goals Conceded 1.67

100% Over 1.5 67%

75% Over 2.5 67%

50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Huracan Buceo

(Home)

17 Sept

Huracan Buceo

1 : 2

Ferro Carril

03 Aug

Rocha

2 : 1

Huracan Buceo

21 Jul

Lavalleja de Rocha

1 : 2

Huracan Buceo

16 May

Huracan Buceo

2 : 0

Rocha

09 May

Rentistas

3 : 2

Huracan Buceo

Page 1 of 6

Ferro Carril

(Away)

31 Oct

Defensor Sp.

6 : 0

Ferro Carril

22 Oct

Ferro Carril

2 : 1

Melo Wanderers

09 Oct

Ferro Carril

2 : 1

Club Oriental De Futbol

07 Nov

Ferro Carril

0 : 1

CA Cerro

11 Oct

Ferro Carril

1 : 0

Bella Vista

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Huracan Buceo 1

Ferro Carril 2

TBD -

Bella Vista -

TBD -

CA Cerro -

Tacuarembo -

TBD -

Fenix -

Wanderers Durazno 0

Terremoto 2

TBD -

Miramar -

TBD -

Wanderers -

Juventud Colonia 2

Salto FC 1

TBD -

Albion -

TBD -

River Plate Montevideo -

Cooper 0

Libertad San Carlos 1

TBD -

Uruguay Montevideo FC -

TBD -

Plaza Colonia -

TBD -

Defensor Sp. -

Campana 1

Club Atletico Basanez 2

TBD -

Cerrito -

Quilmes 2

Central Esp. 1

TBD -

Rampla Juniors -

TBD -

La Luz -

Lavalleja (Minas) -

Rocha -

TBD -

Juventud -

TBD -

Danubio -

Huracan (Treinta y Tres) 0

Lito 1

TBD -

Sud America -

TBD -

Penarol -

Universitario Salto -

TBD -

Boston River -

Salus 0

Atletico Juanico 4

TBD -

Atenas -

TBD -

Liverpool M. -

Colon 2

Paysandu Bella Vista 1

TBD -

Potencia -

TBD -

Club Nacional -

Nacional Nueva Helvecia 2

Villa Espanola 1

TBD -

Progreso -

TBD -

Montevideo City -

Central San Jose -

TBD -

Maldonado -

Deutscher 0

Sportivo Barracas 1

TBD -

Rentistas -

TBD -

Cerro Largo -

Club Oriental De Futbol -

TBD -

Racing Montevideo -

1/32-finals

Ferro Carril 1

Bella Vista 0

TBD -

CA Cerro -

Tacuarembo -

TBD -

Fenix -

Terremoto 1

Miramar 2

TBD -

Wanderers -

Juventud Colonia 0

Albion 5

TBD -

River Plate Montevideo -

Libertad San Carlos 0

Uruguay Montevideo FC 2

TBD -

Plaza Colonia -

TBD -

Defensor Sp. -

Club Atletico Basanez 0

Cerrito 1

Quilmes 1

Rampla Juniors 2

TBD -

La Luz -

Lavalleja (Minas) 2

Juventud 1

TBD -

Danubio -

Lito 0

Sud America 2

TBD -

Penarol -

Universitario Salto -

TBD -

Boston River -

Atletico Juanico 1

Atenas 2

TBD -

Liverpool M. -

Colon 2

Potencia 3

TBD -

Club Nacional -

Nacional Nueva Helvecia 1

Progreso 2

TBD -

Montevideo City -

Central San Jose -

TBD -

Maldonado -

Sportivo Barracas 2

Rentistas 1

TBD -

Cerro Largo -

Club Oriental De Futbol -

TBD -

Racing Montevideo -

1/16-finals

Ferro Carril 0

CA Cerro 1

Tacuarembo 1

Fenix 2

Miramar 0

Wanderers 1

Albion 0

River Plate Montevideo 2

Uruguay Montevideo FC 1

Plaza Colonia 2

Defensor Sp. 3

Cerrito 0

Rampla Juniors 2

La Luz 3

Lavalleja (Minas) 1

Danubio 3

Sud America 0

Penarol 3

Universitario Salto 1

Boston River 3

Atenas 2

Liverpool M. 3

Potencia 0

Club Nacional 4

Progreso 1

Montevideo City 2

Central San Jose 0

Maldonado 1

Sportivo Barracas 3

Cerro Largo 2

Club Oriental De Futbol 1

Racing Montevideo 0

1/8-finals

CA Cerro 2

Fenix 1

Wanderers 0

River Plate Montevideo 4

Plaza Colonia 0

Defensor Sp. 1

La Luz 0

Danubio 1

Penarol 2

Boston River 0

Liverpool M. 2

Club Nacional 1

Montevideo City 2

Maldonado 0

Sportivo Barracas 2

Club Oriental De Futbol 1

Quarter-finals

CA Cerro 1

River Plate Montevideo 2

Defensor Sp. 1

Danubio 0

Penarol 3

Liverpool M. 1

Montevideo City 8

Sportivo Barracas 1

Semi-finals

River Plate Montevideo 1

Defensor Sp. 2

Penarol 1

Montevideo City 3

Final

Defensor Sp. 3

Montevideo City 2

Huracan Buceo vs Ferro Carril

Uruguay

Huracan Buceo

Ferro Carril

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Huracan Buceo Compare

Ferro Carril Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Huracan Buceo

Ferro Carril

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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