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Hurstville Zagreb vs Northern Tigers

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hurstville Zagreb host Northern Tigers in the NSW League One. This one's hard to separate. Hurstville Zagreb have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Northern Tigers's 1.63 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Hurstville Zagreb have won 0 to Northern Tigers's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.56) point toward Northern Tigers. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hurstville Zagreb
40%
Draws
29%
Northern Tigers
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Northern Tigers have won more games recently than Hurstville Zagreb.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hurstville Zagreb Clean Sheet 15%
Northern Tigers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hurstville Zagreb Northern Tigers
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs Hurstville Zagreb
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hurstville Zagreb 31 / 100
Northern Tigers 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hurstville Zagreb Northern Tigers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hurstville Zagreb's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Northern Tigers let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Hurstville Zagreb remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hurstville Zagreb VS Northern Tigers
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hurstville Zagreb

(Home)
17 Jul
Hurstville Zagreb
3 : 1
Dulwich Hill
11 Jul
Hakoah Sydney
1 : 1
Hurstville Zagreb
03 Jul
Hurstville Zagreb
1 : 2
Canterbury Bankstown FC
27 Jun
Hurstville Zagreb
2 : 1
Hills United
20 Jun
Bulls Academy
4 : 1
Hurstville Zagreb
Page 1 of 5

Northern Tigers

(Away)
19 Jul
Central Coast U23
1 : 2
Northern Tigers
11 Jul
Northern Tigers
2 : 2
Newcastle Jets U23
04 Jul
Hills United
1 : 2
Northern Tigers
27 Jun
Northern Tigers
3 : 1
Dulwich Hill
20 Jun
Hakoah Sydney
1 : 0
Northern Tigers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans24165360:3153
2Northern Tigers24137443:2246
3Bankstown City Lions FC24134745:3743
4Macarthur Rams24126632:2542
5Canterbury Bankstown FC24125757:3941
6Rydalmere Lions24107737:3437
7Hills United24106842:3936
8Bulls Academy241031144:3933
9Hakoah Sydney2479841:4030
10Hurstville Zagreb24861037:3930
11Central Coast U2324761140:4727
12Inter Lions24741329:4625
13Newcastle Jets U2324581145:5523
14Dulwich Hill24581127:4723
15Western City Rangers24541529:4819
16Prospect United242121023:4318
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)