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Hurturkel vs Malchower

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2015/2016 game between Hurturkel and Malchower finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malchower.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Hurturkel
15%
Draws
64%
Malchower
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malchower

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Malchower carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Malchower are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Malchower have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hurturkel Clean Sheet 20%
Malchower Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hurturkel Malchower
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 4
Draws 1 1
Losses 26 27
Goals Scored 0.8 1.19
Goals Conceded 4.33 3.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2016 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs Hurturkel
7:0
Dec 13, 2015 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Hurturkel vs Malchower
0:2
May 10, 2015 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Hurturkel vs Malchower
0:3
Nov 2, 2014 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs Hurturkel
3:1
Apr 26, 2014 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs Hurturkel
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hurturkel 10 / 100
Malchower 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hurturkel Malchower

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malchower Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Malchower conceded in 94% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Malchower lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Hurturkel scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Malchower
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 4.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hurturkel

(Home)
12 Jun
Malchower
7 : 0
Hurturkel
05 Jun
Hurturkel
3 : 10
TB Berlin
22 May
Strausberg
4 : 1
Hurturkel
14 May
Hurturkel
1 : 8
Hansa Rostock II
07 May
Schoneiche
1 : 1
Hurturkel
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Malchower

(Away)
28 Jan
Malchower
1 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
22 Jul
Malchower
4 : 2
Rathenow
05 Jul
Malchower
0 : 9
Hansa Rostock
26 Jun
Malchower
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock
08 Jun
Malchower
1 : 7
TB Berlin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Furstenwalde 30 22 3 5 84:35 69
2 Hansa Rostock II 30 20 5 5 78:30 65
3 Hertha Zehlendorf 30 19 2 9 75:37 59
4 TB Berlin 30 16 7 7 55:35 55
5 Lichtenberg 30 16 5 9 54:34 53
6 Malchower 30 15 3 12 65:46 48
7 Wismar 30 13 6 11 59:36 45
8 Schoneiche 30 11 7 12 32:30 40
9 Seelow 30 10 9 11 38:46 39
10 Altludersdorf 30 11 5 14 49:56 38
11 CFC Hertha 30 10 7 13 45:49 37
12 Neubrandenburg 30 10 6 14 55:61 36
13 Brandenburger 30 9 6 15 38:61 33
14 Strausberg 30 7 9 14 29:48 30
15 1.FC Frankfurt 30 6 3 21 31:77 21
16 Hurturkel 30 3 1 26 24:130 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 (Main)