Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HV & CV Quick vs Smitshoek

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
van den Biggelaar J.
77'
Huntink E.
77'
Huntink E.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between HV & CV Quick and Smitshoek finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
HV & CV Quick
15%
Draws
28%
Smitshoek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HV & CV Quick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Smitshoek come out ahead of HV & CV Quick on wins alone.
  • HV & CV Quick are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
HV & CV Quick Clean Sheet 10%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HV & CV Quick Smitshoek
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 1.31 1.6
Goals Conceded 3.03 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
HV & CV Quick vs Smitshoek
2:2
Sep 21, 2024 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs HV & CV Quick
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HV & CV Quick Compare

Top Goalscorer Wijsman S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Smitshoek Compare

Top Goalscorer van den Biggelaar J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Braaf L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HV & CV Quick 83 / 100
Smitshoek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HV & CV Quick Smitshoek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HV & CV Quick Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smitshoek let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

HV & CV Quick scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Smitshoek lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HV & CV Quick VS Smitshoek
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HV & CV Quick

(Home)
31 May
EVV
1 : 3
HV & CV Quick
27 May
HV & CV Quick
1 : 4
EVV
24 May
HV & CV Quick
4 : 3
SteDoCo
17 May
GOES
3 : 1
HV & CV Quick
11 May
HV & CV Quick
0 : 2
Meerssen
Page 1 of 7

Smitshoek

(Away)
02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1
Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2
Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9
VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1
Smitshoek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)