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Hvezda Cheb vs Karlovy Vary - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group B
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hvezda Cheb host Karlovy Vary in the 4. liga - Group B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Karlovy Vary have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Hvezda Cheb have conceded 2.21 and scored 2.96. Head-to-head, Hvezda Cheb have won 0 to Karlovy Vary's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2015, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 2.81, favoring Hvezda Cheb. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Hvezda Cheb
15%
Draws
73%
Karlovy Vary
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlovy Vary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Hvezda Cheb have won more games recently than Karlovy Vary.
  • Win probability leans Karlovy Vary's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Karlovy Vary have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hvezda Cheb Clean Sheet 10%
Karlovy Vary Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hvezda Cheb Karlovy Vary
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.96 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2015 4. liga - Group A
Karlovy Vary vs Hvezda Cheb
3:0
Sep 27, 2014 4. liga - Group A
Hvezda Cheb vs Karlovy Vary
1:2
Apr 6, 2008 CFL
Karlovy Vary vs Hvezda Cheb
3:0
Aug 26, 2007 CFL
Hvezda Cheb vs Karlovy Vary
0:0
Apr 1, 2007 CFL
Karlovy Vary vs Hvezda Cheb
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hvezda Cheb 10 / 100
Karlovy Vary 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hvezda Cheb Karlovy Vary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovy Vary Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hvezda Cheb's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Karlovy Vary has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Karlovy Vary's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hvezda Cheb VS Karlovy Vary
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
3.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hvezda Cheb

(Home)
03 Oct
Hvezda Cheb
1 : 1
Steti
27 Sept
Meteor Prague
7 : 2
Hvezda Cheb
19 Sept
Hvezda Cheb
1 : 3
Chomutov
12 Sept
Sokolov
3 : 1
Hvezda Cheb
05 Sept
Hvezda Cheb
1 : 5
Psary
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Karlovy Vary

(Away)
03 Oct
Karlovy Vary
2 : 3
Meteor Prague
25 Sept
Chomutov
1 : 0
Karlovy Vary
18 Sept
Karlovy Vary
2 : 0
Sokolov
12 Sept
Psary
1 : 2
Karlovy Vary
05 Sept
Karlovy Vary
3 : 4
Vysehrad
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