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Stadium Background

HVV Hollandia vs USV Hercules - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between HVV Hollandia and USV Hercules finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USV Hercules.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
HVV Hollandia
15%
Draws
85%
USV Hercules
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USV Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USV Hercules come out ahead of HVV Hollandia on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on USV Hercules taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
HVV Hollandia Clean Sheet 10%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HVV Hollandia USV Hercules
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.42 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Derde Divisie
HVV Hollandia vs USV Hercules
0:3
May 1, 2022 Derde Divisie
HVV Hollandia vs USV Hercules
1:3
Nov 21, 2021 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs HVV Hollandia
2:0
Apr 11, 2021 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs HVV Hollandia
0:0
Oct 11, 2020 Derde Divisie
HVV Hollandia vs USV Hercules
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HVV Hollandia 26 / 100
USV Hercules 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HVV Hollandia USV Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USV Hercules Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: HVV Hollandia scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: USV Hercules conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: USV Hercules registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HVV Hollandia VS USV Hercules
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

HVV Hollandia

(Home)
10 Oct
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Staphorst
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3
USV Hercules
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1
HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Sportlust
06 Sept
HVV Hollandia
4 : 5
TEC
Page 1 of 6

USV Hercules

(Away)
10 Oct
USV Hercules
0 : 0
Sportlust
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3
USV Hercules
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4
TEC
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2
USV Hercules
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Scherpenzeel 9 7 1 1 17:9 22
2 Genemuiden 9 7 0 2 22:10 21
3 ACV Assen 9 6 2 1 22:9 20
4 Harkemase Boys 9 6 2 1 17:12 20
5 Excelsior 31 9 6 1 2 23:9 19
6 TEC 9 6 1 2 28:16 19
7 Sportlust 9 4 4 1 16:13 16
8 Purmersteijn 9 4 3 2 16:12 15
9 Sparta Nijkerk 9 4 2 3 22:18 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 9 4 1 4 23:19 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 9 4 1 4 18:19 13
12 USV Hercules 9 3 1 5 12:20 10
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 9 1 3 5 12:17 6
14 Staphorst 9 1 3 5 14:20 6
15 VV DOVO 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Eemdijk 8 1 1 6 11:28 4
17 HVV Hollandia 8 0 1 7 15:27 1
18 SVZW Wierden 9 0 1 8 9:27 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 9 7 1 1 19:2 22
2 Lisse 9 7 1 1 16:6 22
3 Rijnvogels 9 6 2 1 25:9 20
4 Excelsior Maassluis 9 6 2 1 19:9 20
5 VV Zwaluwen 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
6 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
7 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
8 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
9 Blauw Geel 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
10 SV Poortugaal 9 4 0 5 9:13 12
11 Gemert 9 2 4 3 12:17 10
12 Roosendaal 9 3 0 6 15:20 9
13 UNA 9 1 5 3 12:14 8
14 TOGB 9 2 2 5 15:21 8
15 VVSB 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 9 2 0 7 8:20 6
18 EVV 9 0 2 7 8:20 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)