Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hwaseong vs Chungnam Asan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Hwaseong Stadium, Hwaseong
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Park Jae-Seong
Assist: Kim Byung-Oh
26'
Sub
Mohammed N. In: Denisson Silva
Out: Mohammed N.
40' Event
Kim Byung-Oh

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Hwaseong and Chungnam Asan finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hwaseong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hwaseong
30%
Draws
33%
Chungnam Asan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hwaseong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Hwaseong carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hwaseong's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Hwaseong Clean Sheet 68%
Chungnam Asan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hwaseong Chungnam Asan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Chungnam Asan
3:2
Mar 28, 2026 K League 2
Chungnam Asan vs Hwaseong
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Chungnam Asan
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 K League 2
Chungnam Asan vs Hwaseong
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Chungnam Asan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hwaseong Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Jae-Seong
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Byung-Oh
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Chungnam Asan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ju-Young P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hwaseong 50 / 100
Chungnam Asan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hwaseong Chungnam Asan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hwaseong Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chungnam Asan conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Hwaseong scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hwaseong stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hwaseong VS Chungnam Asan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hwaseong

(Home)
09 Oct
Suwon FC
1 : 0
Hwaseong
20 Sept
Seongnam
2 : 2
Hwaseong
12 Sept
Ansan Greeners
0 : 2
Hwaseong
05 Sept
Cheonan City
1 : 1
Hwaseong
29 Aug
Hwaseong
2 : 1
Cheongju
Page 1 of 6

Chungnam Asan

(Away)
10 Oct
Gimhae
1 : 1
Chungnam Asan
19 Sept
Chungnam Asan
3 : 1
Cheonan City
12 Sept
Chungnam Asan
0 : 1
Cheongju
06 Sept
Suwon Bluewings
2 : 0
Chungnam Asan
23 Aug
Chungnam Asan
2 : 1
Yongin FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 26 17 5 4 43:21 56
2 Suwon FC 26 14 9 3 51:29 51
3 Seoul E-Land 27 15 6 6 46:30 51
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 27 12 8 7 41:28 44
6 Busan 27 12 6 9 42:35 42
7 Chungnam Asan 26 9 8 9 35:32 35
8 Gimpo FC 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
9 Gyeongnam 26 8 10 8 31:31 34
10 Cheongju 27 6 14 7 34:42 32
11 Seongnam 26 7 10 9 29:33 31
12 Paju Frontier 26 8 6 12 25:29 30
13 Yongin FC 26 5 12 9 32:37 27
14 Cheonan City 27 5 11 11 31:37 26
15 Jeonnam 26 5 9 12 30:44 24
16 Ansan Greeners 27 6 4 17 28:53 22
17 Gimhae 26 2 8 16 20:50 14
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)