Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hwaseong vs Suwon Bluewings Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Hwaseong Stadium, Hwaseong
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Pllana L.
42' Event
Jang Min-jun
Assist: Pllana L.
46'
Sub
Lee Jun-Jae In: Ilyuchenko S.
Out: Lee Jun-Jae

AI Match Summary

Suwon Bluewings in this K League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwon Bluewings.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Hwaseong
30%
Draws
43%
Suwon Bluewings
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Suwon Bluewings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Suwon Bluewings have won more games recently than Hwaseong.
  • Model gives Suwon Bluewings a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Suwon Bluewings here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Hwaseong Clean Sheet 15%
Suwon Bluewings Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hwaseong Suwon Bluewings
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.6 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Suwon Bluewings
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Suwon Bluewings
2:3
Aug 24, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Suwon Bluewings
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 K League 2
Suwon Bluewings vs Hwaseong
3:1
Oct 2, 2019 Korean Cup
Suwon Bluewings vs Hwaseong
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hwaseong Compare

Top Goalscorer Jang Min-jun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Suwon Bluewings Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang Hyun-Muk
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilyuchenko S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hwaseong 23 / 100
Suwon Bluewings 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hwaseong Suwon Bluewings

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suwon Bluewings Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Hwaseong's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Hwaseong remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Suwon Bluewings conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hwaseong VS Suwon Bluewings
2 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hwaseong

(Home)
20 Sept
Seongnam
2 : 2
Hwaseong
12 Sept
Ansan Greeners
0 : 2
Hwaseong
05 Sept
Cheonan City
1 : 1
Hwaseong
29 Aug
Hwaseong
2 : 1
Cheongju
23 Aug
Jeonnam
1 : 0
Hwaseong
Page 1 of 6

Suwon Bluewings

(Away)
12 Sept
Seoul E-Land
0 : 1
Suwon Bluewings
06 Sept
Suwon Bluewings
2 : 0
Chungnam Asan
29 Aug
Gimpo FC
1 : 4
Suwon Bluewings
22 Aug
Cheonan City
0 : 1
Suwon Bluewings
15 Aug
Suwon Bluewings
2 : 2
Suwon FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 25 13 9 3 50:29 48
3 Seoul E-Land 26 14 6 6 45:30 48
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 26 12 8 6 41:27 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 25 8 11 6 31:30 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Seongnam 25 7 10 8 28:30 31
11 Cheongju 26 5 14 7 31:41 29
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)