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IAPE vs Moto Club Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense Estadio Municipal Nhozinho Santos, São Luís
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Match Events

5' Event
Michael
14' Event
Penalty Missed
56' Event
Eloir

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
IAPE
30%
Draws
23%
Moto Club
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: IAPE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Moto Club carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans IAPE's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Moto Club arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Moto Club, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
IAPE Clean Sheet 68%
Moto Club Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IAPE Moto Club
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.94 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Serie D
Moto Club vs IAPE
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 Serie D
IAPE vs Moto Club
0:2
Feb 11, 2026 Maranhense
Moto Club vs IAPE
0:2
Feb 7, 2026 Maranhense
IAPE vs Moto Club
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Maranhense
IAPE vs Moto Club
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IAPE Compare

Top Goalscorer Michael
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eloir
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Moto Club Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IAPE 51 / 100
Moto Club 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IAPE Moto Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IAPE's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Moto Club's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Moto Club let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

IAPE VS Moto Club
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

IAPE

(Home)
07 Jun
Maracana
2 : 0
IAPE
31 May
IAPE
1 : 3
Sampaio Correa
23 May
IAPE
1 : 1
Iguatu
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
09 May
IAPE
1 : 2
Parnahyba
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Moto Club

(Away)
07 Jun
Parnahyba
1 : 0
Moto Club
30 May
Moto Club
1 : 2
Maracana
24 May
Sampaio Correa
4 : 0
Moto Club
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
10 May
Iguatu
3 : 1
Moto Club
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Moto Club 1
IAPE 4
Maranhao 3
Sampaio Correa 2
Final
IAPE 1
Maranhao 0