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IAPE vs Pinheiro

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2025
IAPE Logo

IAPE

2 - 0
FT
Pinheiro Logo

Pinheiro

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Thiaguinho
78' Event
Talisson
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

IAPE in this Maranhense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored IAPE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
IAPE
35%
Draws
52%
Pinheiro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinheiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • IAPE have won more games recently than Pinheiro.
  • Model gives Pinheiro a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Maranhense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
IAPE Clean Sheet 19%
Pinheiro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IAPE Pinheiro
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2025 Maranhense
IAPE vs Pinheiro
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs IAPE
0:2
Jan 14, 2023 Maranhense
IAPE vs Pinheiro
0:1
Jan 29, 2022 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs IAPE
1:0
Mar 20, 2021 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs IAPE
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IAPE Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiaguinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Talisson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Pinheiro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IAPE 16 / 100
Pinheiro 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IAPE Pinheiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinheiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IAPE found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

Pinheiro has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: IAPE stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IAPE VS Pinheiro
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

IAPE

(Home)
07 Jun
Maracana
2 : 0
IAPE
31 May
IAPE
1 : 3
Sampaio Correa
23 May
IAPE
1 : 1
Iguatu
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
09 May
IAPE
1 : 2
Parnahyba
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Pinheiro

(Away)
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IAPE 14 7 3 4 18:13 24
2 Sampaio Correa 14 6 5 3 18:11 23
3 Imperatriz 14 6 5 3 17:10 23
4 Maranhao 14 6 5 3 16:10 23
5 Moto Club 14 6 5 3 15:9 23
6 Tuntum 14 4 5 5 16:14 17
7 Pinheiro 14 4 4 6 13:15 16
8 Viana 14 1 0 13 5:36 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 (Main)