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IAPE vs Tuntum

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Jhonnatan
35' Event
Paulo Silva
57' Event
Silva Osorio L. T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2025 game between IAPE and Tuntum finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IAPE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
IAPE
35%
Draws
49%
Tuntum
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tuntum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IAPE come out ahead of Tuntum on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Tuntum taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
IAPE Clean Sheet 21%
Tuntum Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IAPE Tuntum
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Maranhense
Tuntum vs IAPE
2:1
Mar 18, 2025 Maranhense
IAPE vs Tuntum
2:1
Feb 18, 2025 Maranhense
Tuntum vs IAPE
1:1
Mar 27, 2022 Maranhense
IAPE vs Tuntum
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IAPE Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonnatan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulo Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tuntum Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IAPE 16 / 100
Tuntum 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IAPE Tuntum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuntum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: IAPE scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Tuntum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: IAPE stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IAPE VS Tuntum
1 Goals Scored 1.67
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

IAPE

(Home)
07 Jun
Maracana
2 : 0
IAPE
31 May
IAPE
1 : 3
Sampaio Correa
23 May
IAPE
1 : 1
Iguatu
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
09 May
IAPE
1 : 2
Parnahyba
Page 1 of 7

Tuntum

(Away)
11 Feb
Tuntum
1 : 2
Imperatriz
07 Feb
Imperatriz
2 : 2
Tuntum
01 Feb
Moto Club
2 : 2
Tuntum
28 Jan
Tuntum
1 : 1
Sampaio Correa
25 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Tuntum
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IAPE 14 7 3 4 18:13 24
2 Sampaio Correa 14 6 5 3 18:11 23
3 Imperatriz 14 6 5 3 17:10 23
4 Maranhao 14 6 5 3 16:10 23
5 Moto Club 14 6 5 3 15:9 23
6 Tuntum 14 4 5 5 16:14 17
7 Pinheiro 14 4 4 6 13:15 16
8 Viana 14 1 0 13 5:36 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 (Main)