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IAPE vs Tupan

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2024
IAPE Logo

IAPE

Sat, Oct 26, 2024
3 - 0
06:30 PM
Tupan Logo

Tupan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

IAPE host Tupan in the Maranhense 2 2024. IAPE are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: IAPE at 1.09 goals for, 1.09 against; Tupan at 0.74 for, 2.11 against. Past meetings favor IAPE slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2024, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.25) point toward IAPE. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
IAPE
35%
Draws
46%
Tupan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tupan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IAPE come out ahead of Tupan on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
IAPE Clean Sheet 19%
Tupan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IAPE Tupan
Matches Played 32 19
Wins 12 2
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.09 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Maranhense 2
IAPE vs Tupan
3:0
Oct 12, 2024 Maranhense 2
Tupan vs IAPE
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IAPE 32 / 100
Tupan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IAPE Tupan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 19 matches.

IAPE's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

IAPE has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

IAPE VS Tupan
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

IAPE

(Home)
07 Jun
Maracana
2 : 0
IAPE
31 May
IAPE
1 : 3
Sampaio Correa
23 May
IAPE
1 : 1
Iguatu
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
09 May
IAPE
1 : 2
Parnahyba
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Tupan

(Away)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
01 Jul
Tupan
0 : 0
Araioses
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
20 Jun
Tupan
1 : 0
Expressinho
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viana 6 4 2 0 10:0 14
2 ITZ Sport 6 2 3 1 4:7 9
3 Timon EC (MA) 6 1 3 2 2:3 6
4 Santa Quiteria 6 0 2 4 2:8 2
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IAPE 6 5 1 0 19:2 16
2 Sao Luis 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Sao Jose (MA) 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
4 Tupan 6 0 0 6 0:18 0
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2024 (Play Offs)