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Ibarra vs Gran Tarajal Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Isma
70' Event
Viera E.
72' Event
Marrero M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 game between Ibarra and Gran Tarajal finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ibarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Ibarra
15%
Draws
8%
Gran Tarajal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ibarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ibarra come out ahead of Gran Tarajal on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ibarra's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Ibarra Clean Sheet 20%
Gran Tarajal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ibarra Gran Tarajal
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Gran Tarajal
4:0
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs Ibarra
0:0
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs Ibarra
0:2
Sep 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Gran Tarajal
1:1
Feb 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Gran Tarajal
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ibarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Isma
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viera E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Gran Tarajal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ibarra 67 / 100
Gran Tarajal 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ibarra Gran Tarajal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ibarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ibarra scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Gran Tarajal let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Ibarra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ibarra VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ibarra

(Home)
24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
Ibarra
17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1
Tamaraceite
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0
Ibarra
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
Herbania
Page 1 of 7

Gran Tarajal

(Away)
12 May
Ibarra
4 : 0
Gran Tarajal
05 May
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2
Atletico Victoria
01 May
San Bartolome
2 : 0
Gran Tarajal
28 Apr
CD La Cuadra
2 : 0
Gran Tarajal
24 Apr
Gran Tarajal
0 : 1
CD Buzanada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife B 34 24 8 2 68:22 80
2 Lanzarote 34 22 9 3 64:28 75
3 Union Sur Yaiza 34 21 11 2 62:19 74
4 Las Palmas B 34 22 8 4 74:24 74
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 52:39 55
6 Arucas 34 11 14 9 51:41 47
7 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 13 11 35:38 43
8 San Bartolome 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
9 Villa Santa Brigida 34 9 14 11 41:36 41
10 Tamaraceite 34 11 8 15 42:56 41
11 CD Marino 34 10 9 15 42:53 39
12 CD Buzanada 34 9 12 13 29:42 39
13 Herbania 34 9 11 14 30:46 38
14 Ibarra 34 9 9 16 35:45 36
15 Atletico Victoria 34 8 8 18 33:53 32
16 Teror 34 6 8 20 29:67 26
17 Gran Tarajal 34 4 12 18 21:54 24
18 CD La Cuadra 34 6 4 24 26:72 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 (Play Offs)