Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 game between Ibarra and Tacoronte finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacoronte.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ibarra
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ibarra come out ahead of Tacoronte on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Tacoronte have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Ibarra Clean Sheet 22%
Tacoronte Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ibarra | Tacoronte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Tacoronte
0:2
Oct 25, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tacoronte vs Ibarra
1:0
Jan 24, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Tacoronte
0:2
Sep 8, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tacoronte vs Ibarra
1:0
Aug 9, 2019 Club Friendly
Ibarra vs Tacoronte
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ibarra 37 / 100
Tacoronte 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ibarra Tacoronte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tacoronte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ibarra scored in 68% of their last 38 outings.
Tacoronte let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Ibarra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Difficult form: Tacoronte registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ibarra VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ibarra
(Home) 24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0 Ibarra
17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0 Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1 Tamaraceite
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0 Ibarra
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0 Herbania
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17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0 Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1 Tamaraceite
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0 Herbania
11 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0 CD Santa Ursula
28 Mar
Ibarra
2 : 1 CD Marino
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Tacoronte
(Away) 20 Jun
CD La Cuadra
2 : 0 Tacoronte
13 Jun
Tacoronte
4 : 1 UD Guia
05 Jun
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 0 Tacoronte
30 May
Tacoronte
1 : 2 Arucas
16 May
Tacoronte
2 : 1 CD La Cuadra
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20 Jun
CD La Cuadra
2 : 0 Tacoronte
05 Jun
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 0 Tacoronte
12 May
UD Guia
1 : 0 Tacoronte
01 May
Arucas
3 : 0 Tacoronte
25 Apr
CD Santa Ursula
4 : 0 Tacoronte
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD San Fernando | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27:17 | 33 |
| 2 | Panaderia | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 32 |
| 3 | Las Palmas C | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26:22 | 30 |
| 4 | Gran Tarajal | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 18:12 | 29 |
| 5 | Union Viera | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 26:30 | 26 |
| 6 | Lanzarote | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18:17 | 24 |
| 7 | CD La Cuadra | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:30 | 24 |
| 8 | UD Guia | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18:28 | 19 |
| 9 | Villa Santa Brigida | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:21 | 18 |
| 10 | Arucas | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mensajero | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 28:17 | 40 |
| 2 | SD Tenisca | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37:20 | 35 |
| 3 | Atletico Paso | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 28:15 | 33 |
| 4 | CD Buzanada | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 29:21 | 32 |
| 5 | Tenerife B | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33:26 | 31 |
| 6 | CD Santa Ursula | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 22:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Vera CD | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 29 |
| 8 | Tacoronte | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | 25 |
| 9 | Atletico Victoria | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16:30 | 20 |
| 10 | Atletico Union Guimar | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 19:34 | 14 |
| 11 | Ibarra | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10:33 | 10 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
