Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iberia 1999 vs Gagra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iberia 1999 host Gagra in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Gagra have shipped 1.33 goals a game lately, while Iberia 1999 have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.36. Past meetings favor Iberia 1999 slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 31, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.94) point toward Iberia 1999. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Iberia 1999
20%
Draws
11%
Gagra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iberia 1999

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Iberia 1999 have won more games recently than Gagra.
  • Iberia 1999 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Iberia 1999 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 20%
Gagra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iberia 1999 Gagra
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.36 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Iberia 1999
2:0
May 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Gagra
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Iberia 1999
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Gagra
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Iberia 1999
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iberia 1999 85 / 100
Gagra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iberia 1999 Gagra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iberia 1999 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gagra let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Iberia 1999 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Iberia 1999 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iberia 1999 VS Gagra
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iberia 1999

(Home)
10 Oct
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 2
Iberia 1999
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999
17 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
Page 1 of 7

Gagra

(Away)
11 Oct
Samgurali
3 : 0
Gagra
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Batumi 28 14 8 6 47:36 50
2 FC Rustavi 28 14 7 7 35:24 49
3 Iberia 1999 28 15 4 9 40:31 49
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 28 13 9 6 45:31 48
5 Dila Gori 28 12 4 12 39:33 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 28 9 10 9 46:37 37
7 Samgurali 28 10 5 13 41:52 35
8 Gagra 28 6 11 11 25:40 29
9 Spaeri 28 5 11 12 37:46 26
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 28 2 11 15 21:46 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)