Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iberia 1999 vs Samgurali

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
Iberia 1999 Logo

Iberia 1999

2 - 1
FT
Samgurali Logo

Samgurali

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Gogia G.
12' Event
Jinjolava J.
(Penalty)
28'
Sub
Kobuladze G. In: Bochorishvili N.
Out: Kobuladze G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Iberia 1999 and Samgurali finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iberia 1999.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Iberia 1999
15%
Draws
49%
Samgurali
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samgurali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Samgurali haven't matched Iberia 1999's recent run of results.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Iberia 1999 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 11%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iberia 1999 Samgurali
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.44 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Samgurali
2:1
May 25, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Iberia 1999
3:2
Apr 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Samgurali
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Samgurali
2:0
Aug 29, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Iberia 1999
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iberia 1999 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bochorishvili N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Samgurali Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iberia 1999 35 / 100
Samgurali 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iberia 1999 Samgurali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samgurali Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iberia 1999 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Samgurali has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Samgurali lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iberia 1999 VS Samgurali
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iberia 1999

(Home)
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Samgurali
02 Sept
Samtredia
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
27 Aug
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Jagiellonia
20 Aug
Jagiellonia
4 : 0
Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 7

Samgurali

(Away)
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Samgurali
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
26 Aug
Dila Gori
2 : 1
Samgurali
22 Aug
Spaeri
3 : 4
Samgurali
16 Aug
Samgurali
0 : 4
Dinamo Batumi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rustavi 25 12 7 6 31:21 43
2 Dinamo Batumi 25 12 7 6 41:32 43
3 Dinamo Tbilisi 24 10 9 5 36:27 39
4 Iberia 1999 23 11 4 8 32:27 37
5 Dila Gori 24 11 3 10 31:25 36
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 25 8 9 8 38:29 33
7 Samgurali 25 9 5 11 34:46 32
8 Gagra 25 6 10 9 24:32 28
9 Spaeri 25 5 10 10 33:38 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 25 2 10 13 19:42 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)