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Iberia 1999 vs Shukura

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iberia 1999 play Shukura in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023. Iberia 1999 are favorites here. Recently, Iberia 1999 averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Shukura averaged 1.1 goals scored and 3.52 conceded. In past meetings, Iberia 1999 won 5, Shukura won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 20, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Iberia 1999 and 0.94 for Shukura. This points to a Iberia 1999 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Iberia 1999
15%
Draws
11%
Shukura
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iberia 1999

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Iberia 1999 picked up more points recently compared to Shukura.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 24%
Shukura Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iberia 1999 Shukura
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 2
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.66 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.09 3.52

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Shukura vs Iberia 1999
1:2
Aug 15, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Shukura
5:1
May 5, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Shukura vs Iberia 1999
2:3
Mar 8, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Shukura
2:1
Oct 12, 2022 Georgian Cup
Shukura vs Iberia 1999
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iberia 1999 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silagadze L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sylla C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Shukura Compare

Top Goalscorer Robakidze L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iberia 1999 71 / 100
Shukura 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iberia 1999 Shukura

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iberia 1999 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Iberia 1999 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.5%
1.52
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iberia 1999 attacking → ← attacking Shukura

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iberia 1999 scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Shukura let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Iberia 1999 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shukura lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 12
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dinamo Batumi362111483:4174
2Dinamo Tbilisi36218793:4971
3Torpedo Kutaisi361612855:3760
4Dila Gori361791056:3960
5Samgurali361691153:5157
6Iberia 1999361491358:4951
7Gagra361081847:6538
8Telavi361071934:6237
9Samtredia36962150:6233
10Shukura36452738:11211