Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iberia 1999 vs Spaeri

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Selimovic V.
32'
Sub
Alhassan I. In: Kutsia G.
Out: Alhassan I.
46'
Sub
Bochorishvili N. In: Kobuladze G.
Out: Bochorishvili N.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Iberia 1999 and Spaeri finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iberia 1999.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Iberia 1999
20%
Draws
11%
Spaeri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iberia 1999

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Iberia 1999 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Iberia 1999 taking it.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Iberia 1999 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 15%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iberia 1999 Spaeri
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.35 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Spaeri
1:0
Jun 12, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Spaeri
1:1
Apr 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Iberia 1999
0:2
Apr 20, 2021 Georgian Cup
Spaeri vs Iberia 1999
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iberia 1999 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bedoshvili V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Spaeri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iberia 1999 48 / 100
Spaeri 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iberia 1999 Spaeri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iberia 1999 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spaeri let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Iberia 1999 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Iberia 1999 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iberia 1999 VS Spaeri
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iberia 1999

(Home)
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999
17 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Samgurali
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Spaeri

(Away)
21 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 4
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
30 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 0
Spaeri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
2 Iberia 1999 26 14 4 8 37:28 46
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 26 12 9 5 43:29 45
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)