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Ibom Youths vs Abeokuta

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The NNL 2021/2022 game between Ibom Youths and Abeokuta finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ibom Youths.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Ibom Youths
20%
Draws
73%
Abeokuta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Abeokuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Abeokuta come out ahead of Ibom Youths on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Abeokuta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ibom Youths Clean Sheet 15%
Abeokuta Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ibom Youths Abeokuta
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2022 NNL
Ibom Youths vs Abeokuta
3:1
Feb 13, 2022 NNL
Abeokuta vs Ibom Youths
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ibom Youths 10 / 100
Abeokuta 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ibom Youths Abeokuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Abeokuta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ibom Youths scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Abeokuta has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ibom Youths went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ibom Youths VS Abeokuta
0.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ibom Youths

(Home)
10 Jun
Cynosure
4 : 0
Ibom Youths
20 May
Ibom Youths
1 : 2
Heartland FC
13 May
Giant Brillars
3 : 1
Ibom Youths
06 May
Ibom Youths
0 : 0
Abia Comets
29 Apr
Edel FC
2 : 1
Ibom Youths
Page 1 of 6

Abeokuta

(Away)
05 Jul
Abeokuta
4 : 0
One Rocket
03 Jul
Sporting Lagos
2 : 0
Abeokuta
02 Jul
Abeokuta
0 : 0
Heartland FC
22 May
Ikorodu United
1 : 3
Abeokuta
13 May
Abeokuta
3 : 1
Madiba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Kanemi Warriors 18 11 4 3 30:9 37
2 City FC Abuja 18 10 3 5 23:16 33
3 Sokoto United 18 9 4 5 22:16 31
4 Yobe Stars 18 9 3 6 23:15 30
5 Mighty Jets 18 9 2 7 23:18 29
6 ABS 18 7 6 5 24:19 27
7 EFCC FC 18 8 3 7 16:19 27
8 Zamfara United 18 8 2 8 19:20 26
9 FWC Champions 18 2 3 13 11:26 9
10 Oyah Sports 18 1 2 15 8:41 5
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 20 12 3 5 26:14 39
2 Malumfashi 20 11 1 8 25:21 34
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 20 10 1 9 23:18 31
4 DMD 20 9 4 7 22:19 31
5 Green Beret 20 9 3 8 19:13 30
6 Adamawa Utd 20 10 0 10 18:21 30
7 Kebbi 20 7 5 8 21:26 26
8 Nigeria Airforce FC 20 7 4 9 18:24 25
9 JM Liberty 20 7 3 10 18:21 24
10 Road Safety FC 20 6 3 11 16:22 21
11 Kogi United 20 4 9 7 15:22 21
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bendel 22 15 4 3 32:11 49
2 Gateway United 22 12 4 6 23:15 40
3 Ibom Youths 22 9 5 8 31:27 32
4 Adoration 22 10 2 10 26:27 32
5 Abeokuta 22 9 4 9 20:19 31
6 Ekiti United 22 10 0 12 19:32 30
7 Vandrezzer 22 7 8 7 23:18 29
8 Ikorodu City 22 7 8 7 26:22 29
9 Giant Brillars 22 8 5 9 23:21 29
10 J'Atete FC 22 7 6 9 15:22 27
11 Osun United 22 8 2 12 23:33 26
12 Campos 22 4 4 14 16:30 16
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayelsa United 24 13 5 6 37:19 44
2 Crown FC 24 13 3 8 32:25 42
3 Warri Wolves 24 12 4 8 32:20 40
4 Rovers FC 24 12 3 9 24:20 39
5 Ijebu 24 10 5 9 27:26 35
6 Go Round 24 10 5 9 22:25 35
7 Edel FC 24 9 5 10 26:27 32
8 Abia Comets 24 10 2 12 26:28 32
9 Cynosure 24 9 4 11 23:20 31
10 Sporting Lagos 24 8 6 10 22:24 30
11 One Rocket 24 8 6 10 16:20 30
12 Apex Krane 24 7 6 11 23:29 27
13 Ottasolo 24 5 6 13 14:41 21
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)