Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Mardarson K.
35'
35'
Stitelmann T.
41'
41'
Chariton G.
AI Match Summary
IBU in this Icelandic Cup 2023 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KA Asvellir
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- KA Asvellir have won more games recently than IBU.
- 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- KA Asvellir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor IBU, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 99%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 99%
Over 3.5 Goals 100%
Over 4.5 Goals 45%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
IBU Clean Sheet 10%
KA Asvellir Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | IBU | KA Asvellir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 11 | 17 |
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.91 | 2.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.36 | 3.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 8, 2023 Icelandic Cup
IBU vs KA Asvellir
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
IBU Compare
Top Goalscorer Stitelmann T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chariton G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63
KA Asvellir Compare
Top Goalscorer Sigurjonsson B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mardarson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
IBU 34 / 100
KA Asvellir 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
IBU KA Asvellir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KA Asvellir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
KA Asvellir let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.
Games between these two average 7.00 goals.
KA Asvellir's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: IBU scored in 45% of their last 11 outings.
Scoring Trends
IBU VS KA Asvellir
2.38 Goals Scored 3
4 Goals Conceded 4.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
IBU
(Home) 22 Mar
Augnablik
12 : 1 IBU
29 Mar
IBU
0 : 6 Hviti
06 Apr
Kari
5 : 0 IBU
19 Apr
KA Akureyri
5 : 0 IBU
08 Apr
IBU
4 : 3 KA Asvellir
Page 1 of 3
29 Mar
IBU
0 : 6 Hviti
08 Apr
IBU
4 : 3 KA Asvellir
02 Apr
IBU
7 : 0 Hamar
21 Apr
IBU
0 : 4 Reynir
30 May
IBU
1 : 2 KM Reykjavik
KA Asvellir
(Away) 20 Mar
KA Asvellir
0 : 3 Selfoss
19 Apr
KR Reykjavik
11 : 0 KA Asvellir
05 Apr
KA Asvellir
3 : 2 KFR
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2 KA Asvellir
24 Apr
KA Asvellir
2 : 9 KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 4
19 Apr
KR Reykjavik
11 : 0 KA Asvellir
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2 KA Asvellir
06 Apr
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3 KA Asvellir
08 Apr
IBU
4 : 3 KA Asvellir
30 Apr
Fjolnir
7 : 1 KA Asvellir
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 7
Hafnir 0
IR Reykjavik 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBU 7
Hamar 0
KA Asvellir 5
Kormakur/Hvot 4
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 5
Alafoss 3
Hviti 3
GG Grindavik 2
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 2
Tindastoll 7
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ymir 1
KFS 2
Throttur 18
Stokkseyri 0
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Berserkir / Midas 1
Smari 2
Reynir 1
Aegir 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
SR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 5
Njardvik 4
Hordur Isafjordur 0
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
Spyrnir -
Ellidi 0
Arborg 1
Kari 5
Lettir 0
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Arbaer 2
Olafsvik 1
Reynir Hellissandur 1
KFK Kopavogur 7
Selfoss 7
Alftanes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
Magni 4
Samherjar 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Skallagrimur 2
KFR 3
Vaengirs 4
KH Hlidarendi 5
Sindri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulfarnir 1
Throttur Vogar 3
KV Reykjavik 17
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 2
Vidir 3
1/32-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 4
KA Asvellir 3
Valur -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 3
Hviti 2
Afturelding 0
Grindavik 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Tindastoll 1
Fram -
TBD -
KFS 0
Throttur 5
Kria 0
Fjolnir 10
TBD -
Breidablik -
Smari 1
Aegir 6
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Augnablik 2
Njardvik 3
KFA 7
Spyrnir 1
Arborg 1
Kari 3
Thor Akureyri 6
Fjallabyggd 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Arbaer 0
KFK Kopavogur 0
Selfoss 8
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Volsungur 0
Magni 1
Grotta 1
Vestri 0
KFR 0
KH Hlidarendi 1
Sindri 4
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 2
KV Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Akranes 3
Vidir 0
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 5
KFG Gardabaer 0
KA Akureyri 5
IBU 0
Valur 4
RB Keflavik 1
Grindavik 2
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fram 2
Throttur 3
Fjolnir 0
Breidablik 2
Aegir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Njardvik 4
KFA 1
Kari 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Magni 2
Grotta 4
KH Hlidarendi 3
Sindri 2
Fylkir 4
KR Reykjavik 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Keflavik 1
Akranes 0
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 1
Grindavik 3
Throttur 0
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
Njardvik 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grotta 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 4
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 0
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 1
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
