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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Hafnarfjordur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Hasteinsvollur, Vestmannaeyjar
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IBV Vestmannaeyjar host Hafnarfjordur in the Besta deild karla. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: IBV Vestmannaeyjar at 1.42 goals for, 2.12 against; Hafnarfjordur at 1.46 for, 1.82 against. Head-to-head, IBV Vestmannaeyjar have won 1 to Hafnarfjordur's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.81) point toward Hafnarfjordur. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
30%
Draws
58%
Hafnarfjordur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Hafnarfjordur have won more games recently than IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Hafnarfjordur taking it.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 11%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IBV Vestmannaeyjar Hafnarfjordur
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 4 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.42 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.12 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Hafnarfjordur
1:1
Feb 12, 2026 League Cup
Hafnarfjordur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1:1
May 29, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Hafnarfjordur
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 10 / 100
Hafnarfjordur 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Hafnarfjordur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hafnarfjordur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hafnarfjordur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

IBV Vestmannaeyjar VS Hafnarfjordur
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

(Home)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

Hafnarfjordur

(Away)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valur 24 9 4 11 44:47 31
2 Stjarnan 24 9 4 11 46:55 31
3 Hafnarfjordur 24 6 9 9 35:41 27
4 KA Akureyri 24 6 5 13 38:51 23
5 Thor Akureyri 24 6 3 15 23:57 21
6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 24 4 7 13 33:48 19
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)