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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Leiknir Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Hlifarsson K. S.
27' Event
Valgeirsson V.
73' Event
Ragnarsson H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with IBV Vestmannaeyjar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
22%
Draws
18%
Leiknir Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • IBV Vestmannaeyjar haven't matched Leiknir Reykjavik's recent run of results.
  • IBV Vestmannaeyjar are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Leiknir Reykjavik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor IBV Vestmannaeyjar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 16%
Leiknir Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IBV Vestmannaeyjar Leiknir Reykjavik
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 League Cup
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Leiknir Reykjavik
3:1
Feb 23, 2025 League Cup
Leiknir Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:3
Sep 14, 2024 Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1:1
Jul 6, 2024 Division 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Leiknir Reykjavik
1:0
Mar 8, 2023 League Cup
Leiknir Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Top Goalscorer Valgeirsson V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ragnarsson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Leiknir Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Hlifarsson K. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 57 / 100
Leiknir Reykjavik 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Leiknir Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IBV Vestmannaeyjar scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Leiknir Reykjavik conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: IBV Vestmannaeyjar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

IBV Vestmannaeyjar VS Leiknir Reykjavik
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

(Home)
19 Jul
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
12 Jul
KR Reykjavik
5 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
04 Jul
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 0
Valur
28 Jun
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
21 Jun
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2 : 1
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6

Leiknir Reykjavik

(Away)
23 Jul
Leiknir Reykjavik
1 : 5
Throttur
16 Jul
Afturelding
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
10 Jul
Leiknir Reykjavik
0 : 1
Grotta
04 Jul
Leiknir Reykjavik
3 : 3
Volsungur
26 Jun
Leiknir Reykjavik
2 : 1
IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stjarnan541017:613
2Keflavik531113:1010
3Kopavogur531110:1210
4Fram520317:116
5Vestri511310:144
6Aegir50053:170
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thor Akureyri431014:310
2Akranes42117:57
3Valur42028:76
4Afturelding42024:106
5Grotta40042:100
6Volsungur00000:00
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KR Reykjavik531116:610
2Vikingur Reykjavik53116:310
3Njardvik52218:98
4IR Reykjavik521211:137
5KA Akureyri51135:74
6Grindavik50235:132
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fylkir540113:512
2Throttur430111:89
3Leiknir Reykjavik52037:136
4Hafnarfjordur51138:64
5IBV Vestmannaeyjar31115:54
6Breidablik41033:103
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)