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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Hasteinsvollur, Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Logo

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

0 - 1
FT
Thor Akureyri Logo

Thor Akureyri

Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Gunnarsson B. In: Hardarson S.
Out: Gunnarsson B.
29'
Bertomeu V.
30' Event
Valor V.
Penalty Missed
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thor Akureyri in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thor Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
20%
Draws
60%
Thor Akureyri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thor Akureyri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Thor Akureyri have won more games recently than IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
  • 20% — that's where the model lands on IBV Vestmannaeyjar taking it.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 18%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IBV Vestmannaeyjar Thor Akureyri
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.44 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri
0:1
Jun 14, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1:4
Jul 27, 2024 Division 1
Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0:3
May 20, 2024 Division 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri
1:1
Aug 31, 2021 Division 1
Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Thor Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunnarsson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 40 / 100
Thor Akureyri 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Thor Akureyri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IBV Vestmannaeyjar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IBV Vestmannaeyjar's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Thor Akureyri let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Thor Akureyri has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

IBV Vestmannaeyjar VS Thor Akureyri
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

(Home)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

Thor Akureyri

(Away)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)