Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Throttur

Iceland Iceland

League Cup
Sun, Mar 1, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the League Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Throttur have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while IBV Vestmannaeyjar have conceded 1.38 and scored 2.25. Head-to-head, IBV Vestmannaeyjar have won 1 to Throttur's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.56) point toward Throttur. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
28%
Draws
50%
Throttur
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Throttur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Throttur come out ahead of IBV Vestmannaeyjar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Throttur's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Throttur arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Throttur, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 15%
Throttur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IBV Vestmannaeyjar Throttur
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Icelandic Cup
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Throttur
2:3
Mar 1, 2026 League Cup
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Throttur
0:0
Jul 11, 2024 Division 1
Throttur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:1
May 10, 2024 Division 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Throttur
4:2
Feb 24, 2024 League Cup
Throttur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 23 / 100
Throttur 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Throttur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IBV Vestmannaeyjar found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (26 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Throttur let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: IBV Vestmannaeyjar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IBV Vestmannaeyjar VS Throttur
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

(Home)
19 Jul
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
12 Jul
KR Reykjavik
5 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
04 Jul
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 0
Valur
28 Jun
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
21 Jun
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2 : 1
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6

Throttur

(Away)
23 Jul
Leiknir Reykjavik
1 : 5
Throttur
18 Jul
Throttur
1 : 0
Volsungur
10 Jul
IR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Throttur
03 Jul
Njardvik
1 : 0
Throttur
27 Jun
Throttur
1 : 1
Vestri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stjarnan541017:613
2Keflavik531113:1010
3Kopavogur531110:1210
4Fram520317:116
5Vestri511310:144
6Aegir50053:170
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thor Akureyri431014:310
2Akranes42117:57
3Valur42028:76
4Afturelding42024:106
5Grotta40042:100
6Volsungur00000:00
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KR Reykjavik531116:610
2Vikingur Reykjavik53116:310
3Njardvik52218:98
4IR Reykjavik521211:137
5KA Akureyri51135:74
6Grindavik50235:132
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fylkir540113:512
2Throttur430111:89
3Leiknir Reykjavik52037:136
4Hafnarfjordur51138:64
5IBV Vestmannaeyjar31115:54
6Breidablik41033:103
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)