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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Throttur

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup Hasteinsvollur
Sat, Apr 4, 2026
2 - 3
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IBV Vestmannaeyjar play Throttur in the Icelandic Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, IBV Vestmannaeyjar averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Throttur averaged 2.18 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. In past meetings, IBV Vestmannaeyjar won 1, Throttur won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for IBV Vestmannaeyjar and 1.56 for Throttur. This points to a Throttur double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
20%
Draws
46%
Throttur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Throttur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • IBV Vestmannaeyjar picked up more points recently compared to Throttur.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 15%
Throttur Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IBV Vestmannaeyjar Throttur
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.81 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Icelandic Cup
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Throttur
2:3
Mar 1, 2026 League Cup
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Throttur
0:0
Jul 11, 2024 Division 1
Throttur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:1
May 10, 2024 Division 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Throttur
4:2
Feb 24, 2024 League Cup
Throttur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hlynsson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Throttur Compare

Top Goalscorer Robertsson A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 34 / 100
Throttur 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Throttur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Throttur or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

IBV Vestmannaeyjar attacking → ← attacking Throttur

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IBV Vestmannaeyjar scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Throttur let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Throttur lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 46
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50