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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Hasteinsvollur, Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Logo

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

1 - 1
FT
Valur Logo

Valur

Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Fridriksson F. In: Kristjansson S.
Out: Fridriksson F.
34'
Veseli S.
46'
Sub
Vokes A. In: Hardarson S.
Out: Vokes A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
35%
Draws
52%
Valur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Valur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Valur have won more games recently than IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Valur taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 14%
Valur Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IBV Vestmannaeyjar Valur
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.67
Goals Conceded 2 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur
1:1
Jul 4, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur
1:0
Apr 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Valur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur
4:1
Jun 19, 2025 Icelandic Cup
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Top Goalscorer Edeland M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Valur Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnarsson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 15 / 100
Valur 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Valur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Valur conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: IBV Vestmannaeyjar scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: IBV Vestmannaeyjar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IBV Vestmannaeyjar VS Valur
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

(Home)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

Valur

(Away)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 0
Valur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valur 24 9 4 11 44:47 31
2 Stjarnan 24 9 4 11 46:55 31
3 Hafnarfjordur 24 6 9 9 35:41 27
4 KA Akureyri 24 6 5 13 38:51 23
5 Thor Akureyri 24 6 3 15 23:57 21
6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 24 4 7 13 33:48 19
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)