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Icasa vs Crato

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Valter Julio
65'
Claudinho
65'
Claudinho

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 2025 game between Icasa and Crato finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Icasa
30%
Draws
33%
Crato
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Icasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Very High Confidence
  • Crato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Icasa a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Icasa Clean Sheet 68%
Crato Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Icasa Crato
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Cearense 2
Crato vs Icasa
1:3
Apr 5, 2026 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Crato
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Cearense 2
Crato vs Icasa
1:1
Feb 13, 2025 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Crato
1:1
Jul 3, 2022 Serie D
Icasa vs Crato
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Icasa Compare

Top Goalscorer Valter Julio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Crato Compare

Top Goalscorer Tulio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Icasa 86 / 100
Crato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Icasa Crato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ICA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Icasa scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Crato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Icasa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Icasa VS Crato
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Icasa

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

Crato

(Away)
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
10 May
Crato
1 : 3
Icasa
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 6 1 1 15:4 19
2 Maranguape 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
3 Caucaia 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Atletico Cearense 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
5 Tiradentes 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 8 5 1 2 14:11 16
2 Crato 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
4 Icasa 8 2 5 1 14:7 11
5 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)