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Icasa vs Crato

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Icasa Logo

Icasa

1 - 1
FT
Crato Logo

Crato

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Paulinho Cearense
85' Event
Hugo Freitas
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cearense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Icasa
30%
Draws
33%
Crato
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Icasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crato lately — more wins on the board than Icasa.
  • Model gives Icasa a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Icasa Clean Sheet 20%
Crato Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Icasa Crato
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.8 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Cearense 2
Crato vs Icasa
1:3
Apr 5, 2026 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Crato
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Cearense 2
Crato vs Icasa
1:1
Feb 13, 2025 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Crato
1:1
Jul 3, 2022 Serie D
Icasa vs Crato
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Icasa Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugo Freitas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Crato Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulinho Cearense
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Icasa 76 / 100
Crato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Icasa Crato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Icasa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Icasa scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Crato let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Icasa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Icasa VS Crato
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Icasa

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

Crato

(Away)
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
10 May
Crato
1 : 3
Icasa
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)