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Icasa vs Guarani de Juazeiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes
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Match Events

21' Event
48' Event
52' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Icasa
20%
Draws
33%
Guarani de Juazeiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Icasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Icasa come out ahead of Guarani de Juazeiro on wins alone.
  • Icasa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Icasa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Icasa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Icasa Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Icasa Guarani de Juazeiro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2026 Copa Fares Lopes
Icasa vs Guarani de Juazeiro
4:0
May 13, 2026 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Guarani de Juazeiro
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Icasa
1:5
Mar 23, 2025 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Icasa
2:1
Feb 27, 2025 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Guarani de Juazeiro
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Icasa 85 / 100
Guarani de Juazeiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Icasa Guarani de Juazeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Icasa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Icasa's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Guarani de Juazeiro let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Icasa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Icasa VS Guarani de Juazeiro
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Icasa

(Home)
07 Nov
Icasa
4 : 0
Guarani de Juazeiro
01 Nov
Quixada
0 : 5
Icasa
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
Page 1 of 6

Guarani de Juazeiro

(Away)
07 Nov
Icasa
4 : 0
Guarani de Juazeiro
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
09 May
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 : 1
Barbalha
26 Apr
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 : 1
Crato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 Guarani de Juazeiro 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
3 Quixada 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ceara B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Atletico Cearense 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Fortaleza B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Palmacia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)