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Icasa vs Quixada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-5. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Quixada have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Icasa have conceded 0.79 and scored 1.59. Head-to-head, Icasa have won 2 to Quixada's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 1, 2026, ending 0:5. xG projections (1.81 - 0.79) back Icasa to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Icasa
20%
Draws
22%
Quixada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Icasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Icasa haven't matched Quixada's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Icasa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Quixada arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Quixada, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Icasa Clean Sheet 20%
Quixada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Icasa Quixada
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 11 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Copa Fares Lopes
Quixada vs Icasa
0:5
Mar 6, 2025 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Quixada
1:1
Feb 19, 2025 Cearense 2
Quixada vs Icasa
1:4
Mar 31, 2016 Cearense
Icasa vs Quixada
1:5
Mar 5, 2016 Cearense
Quixada vs Icasa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Icasa 85 / 100
Quixada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Icasa Quixada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Icasa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Icasa scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Icasa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Quixada lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Icasa VS Quixada
1.75 Goals Scored 0.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.86
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Icasa

(Home)
01 Nov
Quixada
0 : 5
Icasa
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
Page 1 of 6

Quixada

(Away)
01 Nov
Quixada
0 : 5
Icasa
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
04 Feb
Maracana
2 : 3
Quixada
29 Jan
Quixada
0 : 1
Tirol
22 Jan
Quixada
1 : 2
Ferroviario
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Guarani de Juazeiro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Quixada 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ceara B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Atletico Cearense 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Fortaleza B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Palmacia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)