Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iceland U17 vs Poland U17

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2025 ZOS Baltyk Koszalin, Koszalin
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Karmelita F.
45'
Skorb F.
49'
Asgeirsson S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Euro U17 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Iceland U17
20%
Draws
38%
Poland U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iceland U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Poland U17 have won more games recently than Iceland U17.
  • Model gives Poland U17 a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Poland U17 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Iceland U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Poland U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iceland U17 Poland U17
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.67 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2025 Euro U17
Iceland U17 vs Poland U17
1:1
Aug 3, 2017 Nordic Tournament U17
Iceland U17 vs Poland U17
1:2
Nov 3, 2016 Euro U17
Poland U17 vs Iceland U17
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iceland U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Poland U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Karmelita F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland U17 26 / 100
Poland U17 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iceland U17 Poland U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iceland U17's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Poland U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Iceland U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iceland U17 VS Poland U17
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland U17

(Home)
31 Mar
Portugal U17
1 : 2
Iceland U17
28 Mar
Iceland U17
0 : 4
Italy U17
25 Mar
Iceland U17
2 : 5
Romania U17
27 Oct
Greece U17
3 : 4
Iceland U17
24 Oct
Iceland U17
5 : 1
Georgia U17
Page 1 of 6

Poland U17

(Away)
31 Mar
Poland U17
1 : 1
Croatia U17
28 Mar
Slovakia U17
0 : 4
Poland U17
25 Mar
Ireland U17
3 : 0
Poland U17
23 Feb
Sweden U17
1 : 1
Poland U17
21 Feb
Poland U17
4 : 2
Scotland U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
2 Croatia U17 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Ukraine U17 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Slovakia U17 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
2 Austria U17 3 1 2 0 7:6 5
3 Spain U17 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
4 Norway U17 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Finland U17 3 1 0 2 6:9 3
3 Greece U17 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Denmark U17 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U17 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Serbia U17 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Hungary U17 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Netherlands U17 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic U17 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Switzerland U17 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Sweden U17 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 Turkey U17 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U17 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Ireland U17 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
3 Poland U17 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Iceland U17 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U17 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Slovenia U17 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Israel U17 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
4 Northern Ireland U17 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Main)