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Iceland U21 vs Colombia U20

World World

Friendly International 2025 Petrosport Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Sub
Haraldsson H. In: Thorkelsson R.
Out: Haraldsson H.
30' Event
Palacios W.
35' Event
Perea O.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Iceland U21 and Colombia U20 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colombia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Iceland U21
15%
Draws
46%
Colombia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colombia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Colombia U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Iceland U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Colombia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iceland U21 Colombia U20
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.79 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Friendly International
Iceland U21 vs Colombia U20
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iceland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikaelsson H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Colombia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perea O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland U21 30 / 100
Colombia U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iceland U21 Colombia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iceland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Iceland U21's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Iceland U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Colombia U20 has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iceland U21 VS Colombia U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland U21

(Home)
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Nov
Luxembourg U21
1 : 3
Iceland U21
14 Oct
Iceland U21
2 : 1
Luxembourg U21
10 Oct
Switzerland U21
0 : 0
Iceland U21
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Colombia U20

(Away)
28 May
Colombia U20
2 : 1
Costa Rica U20
26 May
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Costa Rica U20
18 Oct
Colombia U20
1 : 0
France U20
15 Oct
Argentina U20
1 : 0
Colombia U20
11 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 3
Colombia U20
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