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Iceland U21 vs Greece U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Iceland U21 at 1.73 goals for, 1.33 against; Greece U21 at 1.83 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Greece U21 slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 16, 2021, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.88) point toward Greece U21. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Iceland U21
20%
Draws
40%
Greece U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Greece U21 lately — more wins on the board than Iceland U21.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Iceland U21 taking it.
  • Greece U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Iceland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Greece U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iceland U21 Greece U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.73 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2021 Euro U21
Greece U21 vs Iceland U21
1:0
Sep 7, 2021 Euro U21
Iceland U21 vs Greece U21
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland U21 83 / 100
Greece U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iceland U21 Greece U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iceland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iceland U21's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Iceland U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Greece U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Iceland U21 VS Greece U21
2.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Faroe Islands U21
0 : 2
Iceland U21
29 Sept
Iceland U21
5 : 1
Switzerland U21
25 Sept
Iceland U21
1 : 1
France U21
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
Page 1 of 6

Greece U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Northern Ireland U21
0 : 1
Greece U21
01 Oct
Greece U21
4 : 2
Latvia U21
26 Sept
Georgia U21
0 : 3
Greece U21
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
27 May
Greece U21
1 : 2
Qatar U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Denmark U21 -
Netherlands U21 -
Iceland U21 -
Greece U21 -
Finland U21 -
Ireland U21 -
Turkey U21 -
Czech Republic U21 -