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Iceland U21 vs Luxembourg U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Throttarvollur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Andresson B.
Assist: Bjarnason J.
37' Event
Videira J.
Assist: Torres Y.
46'
Sub
Duarte D. In: Jonathans D.
Out: Duarte D.

AI Match Summary

Iceland U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iceland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Iceland U21
20%
Draws
33%
Luxembourg U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iceland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Iceland U21 have won more games recently than Luxembourg U21.
  • Iceland U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Iceland U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Iceland U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Luxembourg U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iceland U21 Luxembourg U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.72 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 Euro U21
Luxembourg U21 vs Iceland U21
1:3
Oct 14, 2025 Euro U21
Iceland U21 vs Luxembourg U21
2:1
Oct 13, 2020 Euro U21
Luxembourg U21 vs Iceland U21
0:2
Sep 6, 2019 Euro U21
Iceland U21 vs Luxembourg U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iceland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andresson B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjarnason J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Luxembourg U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Videira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland U21 85 / 100
Luxembourg U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iceland U21 Luxembourg U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iceland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iceland U21 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Luxembourg U21 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Iceland U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iceland U21 VS Luxembourg U21
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland U21

(Home)
29 Sept
Iceland U21
5 : 1
Switzerland U21
25 Sept
Iceland U21
1 : 1
France U21
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Nov
Luxembourg U21
1 : 3
Iceland U21
Page 1 of 6

Luxembourg U21

(Away)
30 Sept
Faroe Islands U21
0 : 1
Luxembourg U21
25 Sept
Switzerland U21
5 : 0
Luxembourg U21
06 Jun
Kosovo U21
0 : 0
Luxembourg U21
26 Mar
Luxembourg U21
1 : 5
France U21
18 Nov
Luxembourg U21
2 : 1
Switzerland U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 9 8 0 1 40:4 24
2 Finland U21 9 7 1 1 30:3 22
3 Romania U21 9 5 1 3 11:6 16
4 Kosovo U21 9 4 2 3 17:7 14
5 Cyprus U21 9 1 0 8 6:29 3
6 San Marino U21 9 0 0 9 0:55 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 9 7 1 1 33:2 22
2 Czech Republic U21 9 5 3 1 17:4 18
3 Scotland U21 9 4 2 3 23:12 14
4 Bulgaria U21 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 9 1 4 4 8:24 7
6 Gibraltar U21 9 0 0 9 1:41 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 8 6 2 0 24:5 20
2 Switzerland U21 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
3 Iceland U21 9 4 3 2 20:11 15
4 Faroe Islands U21 9 4 0 5 8:15 12
5 Luxembourg U21 8 2 1 5 8:19 7
6 Estonia U21 9 0 2 7 9:25 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 8 7 1 0 22:4 22
2 Ireland U21 9 5 2 2 13:13 17
3 Slovakia U21 8 5 1 2 15:12 16
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 9 1 1 7 9:18 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 9 9 0 0 26:2 27
2 Italy U21 9 8 0 1 26:5 24
3 Montenegro U21 9 3 2 4 12:15 11
4 Sweden U21 9 3 1 5 10:22 10
5 North Macedonia U21 9 2 1 6 8:18 7
6 Armenia U21 9 0 0 9 4:24 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 9 8 0 1 30:5 24
2 Greece U21 9 8 0 1 28:6 24
3 Northern Ireland U21 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
4 Georgia U21 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
5 Latvia U21 9 1 2 6 6:20 5
6 Malta U21 9 0 0 9 2:36 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Israel U21 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 7 1 4 2 3:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
5 Slovenia U21 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Turkey U21 7 3 3 1 9:8 12
3 Ukraine U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
4 Hungary U21 7 1 3 3 9:13 6
5 Lithuania U21 7 0 2 5 4:16 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 7 5 1 1 13:2 16
2 Denmark U21 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
3 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
4 Wales U21 7 2 0 5 6:21 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)