Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Oskarsson O.
Assist: Anderson M.
32'
32'
Ellertsson M. E.
35'
35'
Demiral M.
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Iceland and Turkey finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turkey.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
20%
65%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turkey
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Iceland haven't matched Turkey's recent run of results.
- Turkey are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Iceland Clean Sheet 10%
Turkey Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Iceland | Turkey |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 14, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Iceland vs Turkey
2:4
Sep 9, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Turkey vs Iceland
3:1
Nov 14, 2019 Euro
Turkey vs Iceland
0:0
Jun 11, 2019 Euro
Iceland vs Turkey
2:1
Oct 6, 2017 World Championship
Turkey vs Iceland
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Iceland Compare
Top Goalscorer Oskarsson O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gudjohnsen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Turkey Compare
Top Goalscorer Kahveci I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guler A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Iceland 10 / 100
Turkey 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Iceland Turkey
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Turkey Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Iceland scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Turkey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Iceland went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Iceland VS Turkey
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Iceland
(Home) 10 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0 Iceland
31 May
Japan
1 : 0 Iceland
31 Mar
Haiti
1 : 1 Iceland
28 Mar
Canada
2 : 2 Iceland
26 Feb
Mexico
4 : 0 Iceland
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Iceland
2 : 2 France
10 Oct
Iceland
3 : 5 Ukraine
05 Sept
Iceland
5 : 0 Azerbaijan
23 Mar
Iceland
1 : 3 Kosovo
14 Oct
Iceland
2 : 4 Turkey
Page 1 of 2
Turkey
(Away) 26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2 USA
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1 Paraguay
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0 Turkey
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2 Turkey
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0 North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0 Turkey
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2 Turkey
31 Mar
Kosovo
0 : 1 Turkey
18 Nov
Spain
2 : 2 Turkey
11 Oct
Bulgaria
1 : 6 Turkey
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czech Republic | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Albania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Greece | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Ireland | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 6 |
| 4 | Finland | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Austria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0:15 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wales | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:9 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
