Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2024/2025

Viktoria Herxheim

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Viktoria Herxheim is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Idar-Oberstein, backed by a win probability of 60%. Idar-Oberstein averages 1.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded in recent matches. Viktoria Herxheim shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Idar-Oberstein, 1 wins for Viktoria Herxheim, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 25.05.25 ended in a 3:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Idar-Oberstein and 1.00 for Viktoria Herxheim, suggesting the primary value lies in the Viktoria Herxheim double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Idar-Oberstein

25%

Draws

60%

Viktoria Herxheim

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Viktoria Herxheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Idar-Oberstein picked up more points recently compared to Viktoria Herxheim.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 77%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Idar-Oberstein Clean Sheet 23%

Viktoria Herxheim Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 85%

Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Idar-Oberstein	Viktoria Herxheim
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	7	10
Draws	8	3
Losses	17	17
Goals Scored	1.63	1.37
Goals Conceded	2.63	2.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

25.05.25 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar

Idar-Oberstein vs Viktoria Herxheim

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

09.11.24 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar

Viktoria Herxheim vs Idar-Oberstein

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Idar-Oberstein

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Viktoria Herxheim

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Idar-Oberstein Compare

Top Goalscorer Zimmer F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yerima M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Viktoria Herxheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Gehrlein R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Idar-Oberstein 18 / 100

Viktoria Herxheim 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Idar-Oberstein Viktoria Herxheim

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viktoria Herxheim Win (2)

Secondary Pick Viktoria Herxheim & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.6%

1.41

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Viktoria Herxheim will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Idar-Oberstein 17%

Viktoria Herxheim 48%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

Idar-Oberstein will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Viktoria Herxheim's early runs.

Idar-Oberstein 14%

Viktoria Herxheim 63%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Viktoria Herxheim to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Idar-Oberstein tries to push forward.

Idar-Oberstein 15%

Viktoria Herxheim 60%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see Viktoria Herxheim increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Idar-Oberstein 16%

Viktoria Herxheim 57%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Idar-Oberstein's defense, opening up opportunities for Viktoria Herxheim's forward line.

Idar-Oberstein 14%

Viktoria Herxheim 66%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect Viktoria Herxheim to manage the closing stages, while Idar-Oberstein searches for late drama.

Idar-Oberstein 17%

Viktoria Herxheim 69%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Idar-Oberstein attacking → ← attacking Viktoria Herxheim

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Idar-Oberstein have found the net in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Viktoria Herxheim have conceded at least one goal in 90% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.

Idar-Oberstein remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Viktoria Herxheim suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 33

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Schott Mainz	34	29	4	1	117:24	91
2	Kaiserslautern II	34	25	5	4	121:45	80
3	Pirmasens	34	23	9	2	92:27	78
4	TuS Koblenz	34	23	2	9	70:38	71
5	Worms	34	16	7	11	66:59	55
6	Gonsenheim	34	14	9	11	71:58	51
7	Engers	34	14	5	15	63:66	47
8	Rot-Weiss Koblenz	34	12	9	13	56:57	45
9	Arminia Ludwigshafen	34	13	5	16	67:63	44
10	Karbach	34	10	8	16	45:63	38
11	Diefflen	34	9	9	16	61:79	36
12	Idar-Oberstein	34	10	6	18	42:69	36
13	Eisbachtal	34	9	8	17	63:84	35
14	Eppelborn	34	10	4	20	48:97	34
15	Auersmacher	34	9	6	19	57:74	33
16	Mechtersheim	34	8	9	17	39:74	33
17	Viktoria Herxheim	34	10	3	21	45:89	33
18	Morlautern	34	6	4	24	49:106	22