Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Idoya vs CD Corellano

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Idoya in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Idoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Idoya
15%
Draws
73%
CD Corellano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Corellano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • CD Corellano have won more games recently than Idoya.
  • Model gives Idoya a 12% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Idoya Clean Sheet 20%
CD Corellano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Idoya CD Corellano
Matches Played 34 40
Wins 6 14
Draws 12 5
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Idoya
1:0
Dec 16, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs CD Corellano
0:2
Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs CD Corellano
1:0
Sep 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Idoya
1:0
Mar 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs CD Corellano
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Idoya 40 / 100
CD Corellano 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Idoya CD Corellano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Idoya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Corellano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 40 matches.

Idoya found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).

CD Corellano lost 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Corellano
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Idoya

(Home)
13 May
CD Corellano
1 : 0
Idoya
05 May
Idoya
1 : 2
CD Ardoi
28 Apr
Huarte
3 : 2
Idoya
22 Apr
Idoya
1 : 1
Mutilvera
14 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Idoya
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CD Corellano

(Away)
29 Apr
CD Corellano
3 : 2
Ezcabarte
23 Apr
CD Beti Onak
5 : 3
CD Corellano
09 Apr
CD Corellano
2 : 1
Valle Egues
03 Apr
CD Corellano
0 : 2
Azkoyen
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 38 25 7 6 73:35 82
2 Iruna 38 24 7 7 66:32 79
3 Cirbonero 38 23 8 7 65:30 77
4 Cortes 38 19 7 12 51:35 64
5 Oberena 38 19 6 13 54:45 63
6 AD San Juan 38 16 14 8 60:42 62
7 Burlades 38 15 14 9 51:50 59
8 Idoya 38 17 6 15 51:47 57
9 Huarte 38 13 13 12 39:36 52
10 Txantrea 38 14 10 14 63:56 52
11 Subiza 38 14 8 16 65:62 50
12 CD Cantolagua 38 14 7 17 44:47 49
13 Valle Egues 38 12 9 17 51:49 45
14 CD River Ega 38 14 3 21 52:77 45
15 Pamplona 38 11 11 16 47:52 44
16 CD Corellano 38 11 11 16 49:56 44
17 CD Ardoi 38 11 11 16 39:46 44
18 CD Lourdes 38 10 10 18 37:56 40
19 Erriberri 38 7 8 23 27:69 29
20 Valtierrano 38 2 8 28 30:92 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)