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Iecava vs Kekava-Auda

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Basko M.
62' Event
Vitins E.
72' Event
Jegers A.

AI Match Summary

Kekava-Auda in this Latvian Cup 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Iecava
15%
Draws
57%
Kekava-Auda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kekava-Auda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Kekava-Auda have won more games recently than Iecava.
  • Win probability leans Kekava-Auda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Kekava-Auda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kekava-Auda, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Iecava Clean Sheet 20%
Kekava-Auda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iecava Kekava-Auda
Matches Played 8 10
Wins 3 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 Latvian Cup
Iecava vs Kekava-Auda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iecava Compare

Top Goalscorer Jegers A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Kekava-Auda Compare

Top Goalscorer Basko M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitins E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iecava 10 / 100
Kekava-Auda 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iecava Kekava-Auda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kekava-Auda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kekava-Auda conceded in 80% of 10 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Iecava scored in 63% of their last 8 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Kekava-Auda registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iecava VS Kekava-Auda
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Iecava

(Home)
27 May
Iecava
0 : 5
Alberts JDFS
18 May
Iecava
1 : 2
Kekava-Auda
02 Jun
Iecava
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
18 May
Dinamo Riga
1 : 3
Iecava
26 May
Iecava
0 : 2
Rigas Futbola Skola
Page 1 of 2

Kekava-Auda

(Away)
20 Jun
FK Metta
5 : 0
Kekava-Auda
30 May
Kekava-Auda
2 : 1
Rezekne
31 May
Kekava-Auda
0 : 3
Marupe
18 May
Iecava
1 : 2
Kekava-Auda
22 Jun
Kekava-Auda
3 : 4
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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RFS -
Speks -
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FK Alberts -
Riga United -
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SK Babite -
Iecava -
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Kekava-Auda -
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Marupe -
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Grobina -
Livani -
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JFC Viola -
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Skanste -
Alberts JDFS -
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FK Smiltene -
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Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Kuivizu Spartaks -
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Upesciema Warriors -
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Riga Mariners -
Valmiera 8
FK Limbazi 0
TBD -
FK Cesis -
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Ogre United -
Plavinas -
TBD -
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Namejs -
Rigas Futbola Skola -
TBD -
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Bauskas / Memele -
AFA Olaine -
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Augsdaugavas -
RSU -
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LSPA -
Kuldigas/Goldingen -
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Salaspils FK -
Dienvidkurzemes -
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DSVK Traktors -
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Leevon PPK -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava -
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Lielupe -
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Rezekne -
Talsi 1
Aliance 5
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Valka -
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JFK Ventspils -
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FK Liepaja -
1/64-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Speks 4
FK Alberts 3
Riga United 6
SK Babite 0
Iecava 1
Kekava-Auda 2
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Marupe -
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Livani 4
JFC Viola 0
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Skanste -
Alberts JDFS -
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FK Smiltene -
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Kuivizu Spartaks 0
Upesciema Warriors 5
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Riga Mariners -
Valmiera 6
FK Cesis 0
TBD -
Ogre United -
Plavinas 4
Namejs 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 8
Bauskas / Memele 0
AFA Olaine -
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Augsdaugavas -
RSU 5
LSPA 1
Kuldigas/Goldingen 2
Salaspils FK 3
Dienvidkurzemes 3
DSVK Traktors 0
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Leevon PPK -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 5
Lielupe 0
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Rezekne -
Aliance 9
Valka 1
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JFK Ventspils -
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FK Liepaja -
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Speks 0
Riga United 3
Kekava-Auda 0
Marupe 3
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Livani 0
Skanste 5
Alberts JDFS 5
FK Smiltene 3
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Upesciema Warriors 0
Riga Mariners 3
Valmiera 4
Ogre United 3
Plavinas 3
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
AFA Olaine 3
Augsdaugavas 1
RSU 0
Salaspils FK 6
Dienvidkurzemes 1
Leevon PPK 2
TBD -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 4
Rezekne 0
Aliance 0
JFK Ventspils 6
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Riga United 0
Marupe 3
TBD -
FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Skanste 1
Alberts JDFS 2
TBD -
Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Riga Mariners 4
Valmiera 3
Plavinas 3
AFA Olaine 5
Salaspils FK 4
Leevon PPK 5
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 1
JFK Ventspils 3
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 0
RFS 1
Marupe 1
FK Metta 4
FK Auda Riga 1
Grobina 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Super Nova 3
Riga FC 4
Tukums 2000 0
Riga Mariners 6
AFA Olaine 1
Leevon PPK 2
BFC Daugavpils 4
JFK Ventspils 0
FK Liepaja 2
Quarter-finals
RFS 3
FK Metta 2
FK Auda Riga 3
Super Nova 1
Riga FC 10
Riga Mariners 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Liepaja 2
Semi-finals
RFS 0
FK Auda Riga 2
Riga FC 4
FK Liepaja 0
Final
FK Auda Riga 2
Riga FC 1