Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Berga vs IFK Trelleborg

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Rosvall L.
80' Event
Magnusson I.
82' Event
Magnusson I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland game between IFK Berga and IFK Trelleborg finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Berga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
IFK Berga
15%
Draws
54%
IFK Trelleborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Trelleborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IFK Trelleborg come out ahead of IFK Berga on wins alone.
  • Model gives IFK Trelleborg a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
IFK Berga Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Trelleborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Berga IFK Trelleborg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.72 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Berga vs IFK Trelleborg
3:1
Jun 17, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Trelleborg vs IFK Berga
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Berga vs IFK Trelleborg
0:3
May 5, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Trelleborg vs IFK Berga
4:1
Jul 29, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Trelleborg vs IFK Berga
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Berga Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maikkula A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

IFK Trelleborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosvall L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Berga 10 / 100
IFK Trelleborg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Berga IFK Trelleborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Trelleborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Berga scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

IFK Trelleborg let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: IFK Berga remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

IFK Berga VS IFK Trelleborg
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Berga

(Home)
12 Sept
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
IFK Berga
06 Sept
IFK Berga
1 : 3
Lilla Torg
30 Aug
Karlskrona
4 : 1
IFK Berga
22 Aug
IFK Berga
1 : 1
Staffanstorp United
15 Aug
Torns
3 : 4
IFK Berga
Page 1 of 6

IFK Trelleborg

(Away)
12 Sept
Osterlen FF
1 : 4
IFK Trelleborg
06 Sept
IFK Trelleborg
1 : 2
Linero IF
28 Aug
Torns
1 : 2
IFK Trelleborg
23 Aug
IFK Trelleborg
2 : 0
Lilla Torg
18 Aug
Nosaby IF
0 : 3
IFK Trelleborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 21 16 3 2 55:19 51
2 Oskarshamn 21 13 3 5 55:24 42
3 IFK Trelleborg 21 12 5 4 41:19 41
4 IFK Berga 21 10 4 7 43:32 34
5 Linero IF 21 11 1 9 37:36 34
6 Vaxjo Norra 21 9 6 6 30:30 33
7 Nosaby IF 21 9 5 7 39:37 32
8 Osterlen FF 21 8 4 9 32:33 28
9 Lilla Torg 21 6 8 7 26:33 26
10 Solvesborgs 21 8 1 12 31:36 25
11 Staffanstorp United 21 5 7 9 31:36 22
12 Torns 21 7 0 14 29:57 21
13 Rappe GOIF 21 3 5 13 22:49 14
14 IFK Karlshamn 21 3 2 16 22:52 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)