Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Goteborg vs AIK

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Bergquist L.
30' Event
Clemmensen S.
Assist: Eriksson F.
34' Event
Hove J.
Assist: Ayari T.

AI Match Summary

AIK in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AIK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
IFK Goteborg
39%
Draws
31%
AIK
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • IFK Goteborg average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of AIK's 1.38.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AIK here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
IFK Goteborg Clean Sheet 10%
AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Goteborg AIK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs AIK
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs AIK
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs IFK Goteborg
3:0
Oct 21, 2024 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs AIK
1:2
May 27, 2024 Allsvenskan
AIK vs IFK Goteborg
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Goteborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Clemmensen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Hove J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouame A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Goteborg 29 / 100
AIK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Goteborg AIK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AIK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

IFK Goteborg scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: IFK Goteborg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

IFK Goteborg VS AIK
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius12102033:1532
2Hammarby1372428:1423
3Hacken1255225:2220
4Djurgarden1161426:1519
5GAIS1354418:1219
6Malmo FF1261525:2019
7Vasteras SK1354422:2319
8Elfsborg1346317:1418
9AIK1253416:1818
10Mjallby1345419:1717
11Brommapojkarna1344518:2116
12Kalmar1241714:1713
13IFK Goteborg1334616:2913
14Degerfors1224612:1910
15Orgryte1223714:319
16Halmstad1213810:266