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IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IFK Goteborg host Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: IFK Goteborg at 1.52 goals for, 1.61 against; Malmo FF at 1.69 for, 1.31 against. Head-to-head, IFK Goteborg have won 1 to Malmo FF's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.19) back Malmo FF to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
IFK Goteborg
35%
Draws
35%
Malmo FF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malmo FF come out ahead of IFK Goteborg on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
IFK Goteborg Clean Sheet 20%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Goteborg Malmo FF
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg
4:0
Aug 24, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg
0:0
May 25, 2025 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Svenska Cupen
Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg
3:2
Oct 28, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Goteborg 32 / 100
Malmo FF 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Goteborg Malmo FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Goteborg found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Malmo FF let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

IFK Goteborg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Goteborg VS Malmo FF
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Goteborg

(Home)
01 Nov
Hacken
1 : 0
IFK Goteborg
28 Oct
IFK Goteborg
1 : 1
Djurgarden
25 Oct
GAIS
1 : 1
IFK Goteborg
17 Oct
AIK
2 : 2
IFK Goteborg
09 Oct
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
Page 1 of 7

Malmo FF

(Away)
01 Nov
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Hammarby
28 Oct
Halmstad
0 : 3
Malmo FF
23 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 0
Malmo FF
18 Oct
Malmo FF
0 : 1
Hacken
12 Oct
Malmo FF
1 : 0
Kalmar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 27 18 4 5 58:34 58
2 Hammarby 27 17 4 6 56:22 55
3 Djurgarden 27 16 4 7 55:25 52
4 Hacken 27 13 10 4 48:30 49
5 Elfsborg 27 12 10 5 41:27 46
6 Vasteras SK 27 13 5 9 40:38 44
7 Malmo FF 27 12 4 11 42:36 40
8 AIK 27 10 8 9 43:47 38
9 IFK Goteborg 27 10 8 9 36:46 38
10 GAIS 27 10 7 10 34:27 37
11 Brommapojkarna 27 9 7 11 39:44 34
12 Mjallby 27 6 9 12 30:43 27
13 Kalmar 27 6 5 16 23:42 23
14 Degerfors 27 5 5 17 22:46 20
15 Orgryte 27 4 7 16 33:60 19
16 Halmstad 27 4 5 18 18:51 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)