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IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
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Match Events

24'
Sub
Erlingmark A. In: Bager J.
Out: Erlingmark A.
37'
Eriksson F.
61' Event
Hermannsson H.
Assist: Heintz T.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between IFK Goteborg and Orgryte finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Goteborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
IFK Goteborg
35%
Draws
26%
Orgryte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: IFK Goteborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • IFK Goteborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans IFK Goteborg's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and IFK Goteborg have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
IFK Goteborg Clean Sheet 20%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Goteborg Orgryte
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.59 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte
1:0
May 19, 2026 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs IFK Goteborg
2:3
Mar 23, 2019 Club Friendly
IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte
1:0
Mar 24, 2018 Club Friendly
IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte
1:0
Feb 23, 2013 Club Friendly
IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Goteborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Hermannsson H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Orgryte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Goteborg 49 / 100
Orgryte 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Goteborg Orgryte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Goteborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: IFK Goteborg scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Orgryte conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

IFK Goteborg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

IFK Goteborg VS Orgryte
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Goteborg

(Home)
01 Nov
Hacken
1 : 0
IFK Goteborg
28 Oct
IFK Goteborg
1 : 1
Djurgarden
25 Oct
GAIS
1 : 1
IFK Goteborg
17 Oct
AIK
2 : 2
IFK Goteborg
09 Oct
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
Page 1 of 6

Orgryte

(Away)
01 Nov
Elfsborg
2 : 1
Orgryte
29 Oct
Orgryte
1 : 2
Mjallby
24 Oct
Djurgarden
2 : 2
Orgryte
18 Oct
Orgryte
4 : 2
GAIS
11 Oct
Hacken
3 : 0
Orgryte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 27 18 4 5 58:34 58
2 Hammarby 27 17 4 6 56:22 55
3 Djurgarden 27 16 4 7 55:25 52
4 Hacken 27 13 10 4 48:30 49
5 Elfsborg 27 12 10 5 41:27 46
6 Vasteras SK 27 13 5 9 40:38 44
7 Malmo FF 27 12 4 11 42:36 40
8 AIK 27 10 8 9 43:47 38
9 IFK Goteborg 27 10 8 9 36:46 38
10 GAIS 27 10 7 10 34:27 37
11 Brommapojkarna 27 9 7 11 39:44 34
12 Mjallby 27 6 9 12 30:43 27
13 Kalmar 27 6 5 16 23:42 23
14 Degerfors 27 5 5 17 22:46 20
15 Orgryte 27 4 7 16 33:60 19
16 Halmstad 27 4 5 18 18:51 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)