Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Karlshamn vs IFK Berga

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Hellborg A.

AI Match Summary

IFK Berga in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored IFK Berga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
IFK Karlshamn
15%
Draws
59%
IFK Berga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Berga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • IFK Karlshamn haven't matched IFK Berga's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans IFK Berga's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
IFK Karlshamn Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Berga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Karlshamn IFK Berga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Berga vs IFK Karlshamn
4:1
Apr 19, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Karlshamn vs IFK Berga
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Berga vs IFK Karlshamn
4:3
Apr 21, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Karlshamn vs IFK Berga
2:1
Oct 2, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Berga vs IFK Karlshamn
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Karlshamn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

IFK Berga Compare

Top Goalscorer Hellborg A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Karlshamn 10 / 100
IFK Berga 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Karlshamn IFK Berga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Berga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Berga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

IFK Karlshamn's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: IFK Karlshamn stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Karlshamn VS IFK Berga
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Karlshamn

(Home)
19 Sept
IFK Berga
4 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
13 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 2
Torns
05 Sept
Osterlen FF
6 : 0
IFK Karlshamn
29 Aug
IFK Karlshamn
3 : 1
Nosaby IF
21 Aug
Solvesborgs
2 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
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IFK Berga

(Away)
19 Sept
IFK Berga
4 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
12 Sept
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
IFK Berga
06 Sept
IFK Berga
1 : 3
Lilla Torg
30 Aug
Karlskrona
4 : 1
IFK Berga
22 Aug
IFK Berga
1 : 1
Staffanstorp United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 22 17 3 2 57:19 54
2 IFK Trelleborg 22 13 5 4 45:20 44
3 Oskarshamn 22 13 3 6 55:26 42
4 IFK Berga 22 11 4 7 47:33 37
5 Linero IF 22 11 2 9 39:38 35
6 Vaxjo Norra 22 9 7 6 30:30 34
7 Nosaby IF 22 9 6 7 39:37 33
8 Osterlen FF 22 8 5 9 34:35 29
9 Lilla Torg 22 6 9 7 28:35 27
10 Solvesborgs 22 8 1 13 32:40 25
11 Staffanstorp United 22 5 8 9 33:38 23
12 Torns 22 7 0 15 30:59 21
13 Rappe GOIF 22 4 5 13 24:50 17
14 IFK Karlshamn 22 3 2 17 23:56 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)